Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24

At 7:30 ET, the Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans will be facing off in a week eight matchup at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing (MI). The game can be seen on NBC. The over/under line is currently sitting at 41 points. The Hawkeyes are the -5.5-point favorites on the road. Iowa comes in with a 4-2 record, while Michigan State is 3-3 on the season.

IOWA HAWKEYES VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Michigan State Spartans +5.5

This game will be played at Spartan Stadium (MI) at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 19th.

WHY BET THE MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS:

• We have the Michigan State Spartans winning this one by a score of 19 to 14
• Not only do we have the Michigan State Spartans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 41 points

Will The Iowa Hawkeyes Win As Road Favorites?

Iowa comes into Week 8 with a 4-2 record, ranked 23rd in our power rankings. They have a 98.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 2.1% shot at winning the Big Ten. On the road, they are 1-1, while they’ve gone 2-1 at home this season.

The Hawkeyes have been favored in four of their six games, going 3-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +11.5 points per game, and they’ve gone 2-3 against the spread so far this season.

Iowa’s over/under record is 4-1, with their games averaging 46.8 points. The average over/under line has been 39.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 41 points.

Heading into week 8, Iowa’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game, placing them 45th in the nation. They are ranked 70th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the focal point, with 223.2 yards per game on 38.5 attempts, ranking 17th nationally.

Kaleb Johnson leads the ground game with 937 rushing yards, 12 touchdowns, and an impressive 7 yards per carry. Quarterback Cade McNamara has thrown for 794 yards, with five touchdowns and three interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 82.

Iowa’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 18th nationally by allowing just 17.7 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 96.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the country.

In their recent game, Iowa’s defense allowed 16 points, while giving up 393 total yards, including 127 rushing yards and 266 passing yards. They also forced one interception in the game.

Are The Michigan State Spartans Going Win In At Upset At Spartan Stadium (MI)

Michigan State enters Week 8 with a 3-3 record and ranks 69th in our power rankings. They have a 44.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Spartans are 1-1, while they’ve gone 1-2 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Michigan State is 3-2, going 3-0 on the road and 0-2 at home. They’ve been favored just once this season, with an average scoring margin of -1.2 points per game.

The Spartans’ over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 40.8 points. This week’s line is set at 41 points, compared to an average line of 46.9 points for their games this season.

Michigan State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19.8 points per game, which ranks them 83rd nationally. Heading into week 8, they are 82nd in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack has been particularly weak, with only 123.2 yards per game, placing them 100th in the country.

Quarterback Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,212 yards but has a passer rating of 68, with nine interceptions and five touchdowns. Michigan State is 52nd in passing attempts per game. Nick Marsh leads the receiving corps with 320 yards and one touchdown.

Michigan State’s defense, ranked 33rd nationally, is giving up 21 points per game this season. They’ve allowed 199 passing yards per game and 133.5 rushing yards on average. Opposing quarterbacks have a 61.4% completion rate and an 82.4 passer rating against the Spartans.

In their recent game against Oregon, Michigan State allowed 31 points and 496 total yards, including 341 passing yards and 155 rushing yards. The defense also gave up two passing touchdowns and two rushing scores.