Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

The over/under line is at 49.5 points as the Packers, favored at -5, host the Cardinals at Lambeau Field on Sunday, October 13th at 1:00 ET. The money line odds have the Packers at -235 and the Cardinals at +192. This week six NFC matchup is being televised on FOX.

ARIZONA CARDINALS VS GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Cardinals +5

This game will be played at Lambeau Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA CARDINALS:

• We have the Cardinals winning this one by a score of 22 to 21
• Not only do we have the Cardinals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The Cardinals Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Heading into week 6, the Cardinals hold a 2-3 record, with both of their wins coming in division play. This includes a 24-23 road victory over the 49ers in week 5, where they were 7-point underdogs. Arizona couldn’t cover the spread in weeks 3 and 4, including a 28-point loss to the Commanders, but they are 3-2 ATS this season. Their O/U record is also 3-2, with their games averaging 49.8 points.

Our power rankings have the Cardinals 19th, and they have a 35.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 28.7% chance of winning the NFC West. Arizona is 2nd in the division, and they are 1-1 on the road and 1-2 at home.

Heading into week 6, the Cardinals sit 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 11th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24 points per game, and are 13th in total yards, with 338 per game. Arizona has focused on the run game, ranking 12th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game, with 156.4. On the passing side, they are 22nd in attempts and 23rd in passing yards per game.

Kyler Murray threw for 195 yards (19/30) and a touchdown in week 5 against the 49ers, with one interception. Michael Wilson led the team with 5 catches for 78 yards, and James Conner rushed for 86 yards on 19 carries. Arizona scored 11 points in the 4th quarter to secure the win.

In their 24-23 win over the 49ers, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 384 yards, with 231 coming through the air. They struggled against the run, allowing 153 yards on just 26 attempts, giving up 5.9 yards per attempt. Despite allowing 19 completions, Arizona held the 49ers to a 54.3% completion percentage. Additionally, the Cardinals’ defense came away with two interceptions and limited San Francisco to a 54.5% third-down conversion rate.

Arizona’s pass rush was effective, as they recorded two sacks and had a positive quarterback hit differential.

Are The Packers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

After a week 4 loss to the Vikings, the Packers bounced back with a 24-19 win over the Rams in week 5, bringing their record to 3-2. Green Bay was a 3-point favorite and covered the spread with the victory. The combined scoring of 43 points fell short of the 49.5-point line. This season, the Packers are 3-2 against the spread and have a +4 scoring margin.

Heading into week 6, our power rankings have the Packers 6th, and they have a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the NFC North and 8th in the conference. Green Bay is 2-1 on the road and 1-1 at home.

Heading into week 6, the Packers rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25.6, and 4th in yards per game with 392.6. Despite being 19th in passing attempts, they are 10th in passing yards per game, averaging 227.8. On the ground, they rank 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 164.8. Green Bay is 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate and 19th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.

Jordan Love threw for 224 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 5, completing 15 of 26 passes against the Rams. He connected with Tucker Kraft 4 times for 88 yards and 2 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs led the rushing attack with 73 yards on 19 carries. Green Bay scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter but failed to score in the 4th, converting just 1 of 8 3rd-down attempts.

In their 24-19 win over the Rams, the Packers’ defense gave up 370 yards but held up in key situations. They allowed 134 rushing yards on 28 attempts and 236 passing yards on 29 completions. The Packers’ defense picked off one pass, allowed one passing touchdown, and recorded three sacks in the game.

On third downs, the Rams converted just 50% of their chances, and the Packers’ defense also won the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +7.