Ball State Cardinals vs Kent State Golden Flashes Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
ESPN+ will be covering the week seven college football matchup between the Ball State Cardinals and Kent State Golden Flashes, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Dix Stadium in Kent. Ball State comes in with a 1-4 record, and Kent State is still looking for their first win of the season. The over/under is at 57.5 points, and the Cardinals are -6.5 point favorites on the road.
BALL STATE CARDINALS VS KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kent State Golden Flashes +6.5
This game will be played at Dix Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES:
- We have the Ball State Cardinals winning this one by a score of 28 to 27
- Even though we like the Ball State Cardinals to win, our ATS pick is to take the Kent State Golden Flashes at +6.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 57.5 points
Will The Ball State Cardinals Win As Road Favorites?
Ball State enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, ranked 132nd in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible are slim, at just 0.4%. On the road, they are 0-3, and they’ve gone 0-1 at home this season.
The Cardinals have been underdogs in all five games, with an average scoring margin of -23.2 points. Their ATS record stands at 2-2, and they’ve covered the spread in one of three road games.
Ball State’s over/under record is 4-0, with their games averaging 73.2 points. This week’s line is 57.5 points, higher than their average line of 55 points, and they’ve exceeded the total by an average of 17.5 points per game.
Ball State’s offense has been centered around their passing game, ranking 25th in passing attempts per game. They are 20th in completions, averaging 24.2 per game, and 79th in passing yards, with 231.6 yards per game. Overall, they are 67th in scoring, with 25 points per game, and we have them ranked 101st in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7.
Kadin Semonza leads the team with 1,133 passing yards and a 67.2% completion rate. He has thrown 11 touchdowns but also has 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 89. On the ground, Ball State is averaging 94.8 rushing yards per game. Braedon Sloan leads the rushing attack with 347 yards.
Ball State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 48.2 points per game. In their recent matchup against Western Michigan, they gave up 45 points, including 264 passing yards and 200 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 301.4 passing yards per game against Ball State, completing 73.6% of their passes. The defense has also allowed 215.4 rushing yards per game, facing an average of 31.4 rushing attempts per game, which ranks 32nd fewest in the nation.
Are The Kent State Golden Flashes Going Win In At Upset At Dix Stadium
Kent State is still searching for their first win of the season, heading into Week 7 with an 0-5 record. They are ranked 134th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Golden Flashes are 0-1 at home and 0-3 on the road this year.
They have not been favored in any of their games so far, and their average scoring margin is -36.6 points per game. Kent State is 0-4 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 57.5 points. Kent State’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 66.2 points per contest. Their average over/under line has been 55.1 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 17.6 points.
Kent State’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, placing them 129th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their rushing game has been particularly weak, with only 76.4 yards per game. Ky Thomas, their leading rusher, has 139 yards and is averaging 3 yards per carry, with no touchdowns.
Quarterback Devin Kargman has thrown for 432 yards, with three touchdowns and two interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 71. Kent State ranks 119th in passing yards per game, averaging 160.8. Their third-down conversion rate is just 17.5%. Chrishon McCray leads the team with 309 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Kent State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 51.4 points per game, including 52 points in their recent game against Eastern Michigan. They gave up 489 total yards, with 276 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns.
Opponents have averaged 294 passing yards per game against Kent State, completing 68.2% of their passes. On the ground, Kent State has allowed 289.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 187th nationally.