Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24
Memphis comes into this matchup with a 4-1 record, and they are the -7.5-point favorites on the road as they take on South Florida. Kick-off is set for 7:00 ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa. The over/under line is at 59.5 points. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, and the money line odds are -278 for Memphis and +223 for South Florida. This is a week seven matchup in college football.
MEMPHIS TIGERS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Tigers -7.5
This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 7:00 ET on Friday, October 11th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS TIGERS:
- We have the Memphis Tigers winning this one by a score of 31 to 23
- Not only do we have the Memphis Tigers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 59.5 points
Will The Memphis Tigers Win As Road Favorites?
Memphis heads into Week 7 against South Florida with a 4-1 record, ranked 64th in our power rankings. They have a 99.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but only a 2.2% chance of winning the American Athletic Conference. The Tigers are 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Memphis has been favored in three of their five games, going 2-1 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +14.8 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is 59.5 points. Memphis games have averaged 51.6 points, with their average over/under line at 54.8 points. So far, their over/under record is 1-3.
Memphis enters week 7 ranked 31st in points per game, scoring 33.2, and we have them 45th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in third-down conversions, converting 48.5% of their attempts. Seth Henigan has thrown for 1,339 yards, completing 64.1% of his passes, with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. His passer rating is 91.
Memphis is 15th in passing attempts and completions, averaging 39.4 attempts and 25.2 completions per game, leading to 270.6 passing yards per game. Mario Anderson Jr. leads the rushing attack with 438 yards and eight touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Roc Taylor has 333 receiving yards on 23 catches.
Memphis’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 22nd nationally by allowing just 18.4 points per game. They’ve given up 119 rushing yards per game (46th) and 191.4 passing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 85.7 and are completing 62.9% of their throws against Memphis.
In their recent game against Middle Tennessee, Memphis allowed just 7 points and 13 first downs. The defense held Middle Tennessee to 29 rushing yards on 25 attempts, while giving up 283 passing yards.
Are The South Florida Bulls Going Win In At Upset At Raymond James Stadium
South Florida enters Week 7 with a 2-3 record, facing Memphis at home. They rank 92nd in our CFB power rankings, but have a 68.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 0-1 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
The Bulls have been favored in just one game this season, going 1-0 as the favorite and 0-3 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin is -5.2 points per game, and they are 2-2 against the spread.
South Florida’s over/under record is 1-2-1, with their games averaging 60.4 points. The average over/under line has been 62 points, and this week’s line is set at 59.5 points.
South Florida’s offense is averaging 27.6 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 56th in the country. They are ranked 70th in our offensive power rankings. The Bulls have focused on their ground game, averaging 179.6 rushing yards per game on 39.8 attempts.
Kelley Joiner leads the rushing attack with 248 yards, four touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Quarterback Byrum Brown has thrown for 836 yards and has a passer rating of 82, with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Sean Atkins leads the team with 309 receiving yards on 27 catches.
South Florida’s defense struggled in their recent game against Tulane, allowing 45 points and 497 total yards. Tulane ran the ball 49 times for 317 yards and six rushing touchdowns, while also passing for 180 yards and two scores.
On the season, South Florida’s defense is giving up 32.8 points per game. They’ve allowed an average of 290.4 passing yards per game, ranking 157th nationally, and 146.6 rushing yards per game.