Utah State Aggies vs Boise State Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

Boise State is the heavy favorite in their week six matchup against Utah State, with the point spread set at -26.5. The game is scheduled for 7:00 ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, and FS2 will be handling the broadcast. The Broncos come in with a 3-1 record, while the Aggies are looking to improve on their 1-3 start to the season. The over/under line is currently at 66.5 points.

UTAH STATE AGGIES VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Utah State Aggies +26.5

This game will be played at Albertsons Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE UTAH STATE AGGIES:

• We have the Boise State Broncos winning this one by a score of 40 to 32
• Even though we like the Boise State Broncos to win, our ATS pick is to take the Utah State Aggies at +26.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 66.5 points

Will The Utah State Aggies Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Utah State enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record and ranks 124th in our power rankings. They have just a 4.4% chance of reaching bowl eligibility for the rest of the season. So far, the Aggies are 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home.

Their average scoring margin this season is -14.8 points per game, and they are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been favored in one game, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-1 ATS as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 66.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. Utah State’s over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 57.8 points and an average line of 53.8 points.

Utah State’s offense ranks 101st in our power rankings heading into week 6, scoring 21.5 points per game. They have struggled on third downs, converting only 27.3% of their attempts, and their passer rating is 75, placing them 109th nationally.

Quarterback Bryson Barnes has thrown for 524 yards, with four touchdowns and four interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 72. The Aggies are 42nd in passing attempts, averaging 246 yards per game. Rahsul Faison leads the rushing attack with 395 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.2 points per game. In their recent game against Temple, they gave up 45 points despite allowing just 219 total yards, including -5 rushing yards. Temple threw for 224 yards and two touchdowns, but Utah State did manage to force one interception.

Opponents are averaging 257.5 passing yards per game against Utah State, completing 67.2% of their passes. The Aggies have also allowed 199.2 rushing yards per game this season, ranking them 141st in the nation.

Are The Boise State Broncos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Boise State enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, ranked 21st in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 54.6% chance to win the Mountain West. The Broncos also have a 38.1% chance of making the CFB playoff, which ranks 12th nationally.

Boise State is 2-0 as the favorite this season, with a +17.8 average scoring margin. Their ATS record stands at 2-1, and they are 1-1 against the spread as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is 66.5 points, higher than their average line of 61.5. Boise State’s over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 77.8 points.

Boise State’s offense has been dominant on the ground, averaging 304.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 5th in the nation. Ashton Jeanty has been the key player, rushing for 845 yards and 13 touchdowns, with an impressive 10 yards per carry. Overall, the Broncos are scoring 47.8 points per game, ranking 5th nationally, and they are 4th in third-down conversions, converting 56.9% of their attempts.

Maddux Madsen leads the passing game with 800 yards and seven touchdowns, but Boise State is ranked 88th in passing yards per game. Madsen has a passer rating of 94. Cameron Camper leads the receivers with 271 yards and three touchdowns.

Boise State’s defense has allowed an average of 30 points per game this season, ranking 54th nationally. In their recent game against Washington State, they gave up 24 points but managed to force an interception. The defense allowed 416 total yards, including 327 passing yards, while holding Washington State to just 89 rushing yards on 39 attempts.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 69.2% of their passes against Boise State, averaging a passer rating of 105.8. The Broncos rank 133rd in the nation, allowing 255.5 passing yards per game. However, they’ve been solid against the run, giving up just 121.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 51st nationally.