Bowling Green Falcons vs Akron Zips Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

ESPN+ will be covering the week six matchup between the Bowling Green Falcons and Akron Zips as the game kicks off at 3:30 ET from InfoCision Stadium Akron. The Falcons are favored by -14.5 points, and the over/under line is currently sitting at 51 points. Both teams come in with just one win on the season, and the money line odds are -694 for Bowling Green and +482 for Akron.

BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS AKRON ZIPS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Akron Zips +14.5

This game will be played at InfoCision Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE AKRON ZIPS:

• We have the Bowling Green Falcons winning this one by a score of 28 to 20
• Even though we like the Bowling Green Falcons to win, our ATS pick is to take the Akron Zips at +14.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 51 points

Will The Bowling Green Falcons Win As Road Favorites?

Bowling Green enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Akron on the road. They are 0-2 away and 0-1 at home this season. Despite their record, they have a 21.3% chance of winning the Mid-American, and an 81.0% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to our projections.

The Falcons have a +2 average scoring margin and are 2-1 against the spread. They’ve covered the spread in both road games (2-0) but are 0-1 ATS at home. Bowling Green has been favored in one game this season, going 0-1 as the favorite and 2-0 ATS as the underdog.

The over/under line for this week is 51 points, while Bowling Green’s games have averaged 55.5 points. Their over/under record is 2-1, with an average margin of +3.7 points against the line.

Bowling Green’s offense is averaging 28.8 points per game, ranking 54th nationally, and they are 37th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Quarterback Connor Bazelak has thrown for 975 yards with a 65.4% completion rate, leading the passing attack. The Falcons are 37th in completions, averaging 22 per game, and convert 45.1% of their third downs.

Bazelak has five touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 87. Bowling Green ranks 69th in passing yards, averaging 244.2 yards per game. On the ground, they average 153.5 rushing yards per game. Terion Stewart leads the rushing attack with 270 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry.

Bowling Green’s defense has allowed 26.8 points per game this season, including 30 points in their recent 30-27 loss to Old Dominion. They gave up 333 total yards, with 189 rushing yards on 36 carries and 144 passing yards, while forcing no interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 211.8 rushing yards per game against Bowling Green, while the secondary has allowed 185 passing yards per game, ranking 48th nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 56.4% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 103.7 against the Falcons.

Are The Akron Zips Going Win In At Upset At InfoCision Stadium

Akron enters Week 6 with a 1-4 record, facing Bowling Green at home. They rank 128th in our power rankings and have just a 3.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Zips have been underdogs in all five games, going 0-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin is -26 points, and they are 1-3 against the spread.

Akron’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 54.4 points. This week’s line is set at 51 points, compared to their average line of 46.5 points.

Akron’s offense has struggled this season, scoring just 14.2 points per game, which ranks them 95th in the nation. They are also 104th in third-down conversion percentage, converting only 29% of their attempts. In our offensive power rankings, they are 111th heading into week 6.

Quarterback Ben Finley has thrown for 855 yards, leading Akron to rank 18th in passing attempts per game. Finley has seven touchdown passes but also six interceptions, and his passer rating is 72. Adrian Norton leads the team with 295 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Akron’s run game has been ineffective, averaging 58.4 rushing yards per game.

Akron’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 40.2 points per game. In their recent 30-10 loss to Ohio, they gave up 440 total yards, including 236 rushing yards on 51 attempts and 204 passing yards.

Opponents are averaging 211 rushing yards per game against Akron, while quarterbacks have posted a 116.4 passer rating, completing 63.1% of their throws for an average of 220.6 passing yards per game.