Alabama Crimson Tide vs Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

SECN will be covering the week six matchup between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Vanderbilt Commodores, set to kick off at 4:15 ET from FirstBank Stadium in Nashville. Alabama is coming in with a 4-0 record, while Vanderbilt is 2-2. The Tide are heavy -23.5-point favorites on the road, and the over/under line is currently 55.5 points.

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE VS VANDERBILT COMMODORES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -23.5

This game will be played at FirstBank Stadium at 4:15 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE:

• We have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning this one by a score of 40 to 12
• Not only do we have the Alabama Crimson Tide winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -23.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 55.5 points

Will The Alabama Crimson Tide Win As Road Favorites?

Alabama enters Week 6 with a 4-0 record against Vanderbilt. They are 3-0 at home and 1-0 on the road. The Crimson Tide rank 2nd in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. They also have a 31.3% chance of winning the Southeastern and a 91.3% chance of making the playoff.

Alabama is 3-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +32 points per game. They’ve been favored in three of their four games, going 2-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-0 ATS as the underdog.

Their over/under record stands at 3-1, with Alabama games averaging 62 points. Their average over/under line is 55.4 points, and this week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

Alabama’s offense is ranked 13th in our power rankings heading into week 6. They are 7th in scoring, averaging 47 points per game. Jalen Milroe has thrown for 969 yards and has a passer rating of 143. Alabama ranks 2nd in the nation in passer rating and 5th in completion percentage, completing 72% of their passes.

Milroe has thrown 10 touchdowns with just one interception. Jam Miller leads the rushing attack with 273 yards, averaging 8 yards per carry. Ryan Williams has 462 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 16 catches.

Alabama’s defense, which ranks 11th nationally, has allowed an average of 15 points per game this season. In their recent game against Georgia, they gave up 34 points but managed to force three interceptions. Georgia was held to 80 rushing yards, but Alabama’s secondary allowed 439 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 121 rushing yards per game on 34.5 attempts against Alabama, while quarterbacks have completed 52.9% of their passes, averaging 196.5 passing yards per game and a passer rating of 62.5.

Are The Vanderbilt Commodores Going Win In At Upset At FirstBank Stadium

Vanderbilt enters Week 6 against Alabama with a 2-2 record and ranks 57th in our power rankings. They have a 16.2% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Commodores have been favored in one game, going 0-1 as the favorite, and their average scoring margin is +13.8 points per game.

This week’s over/under line is 55.5 points, higher than their average line of 48.5. Vanderbilt’s over/under record is 1-0, with their games averaging 60.2 points.

Vanderbilt’s offense is averaging 37 points per game, ranking 23rd in the nation, and they are 25th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Quarterback Diego Pavia has a passer rating of 113, with 721 yards and six touchdowns, and he has not thrown an interception. Vanderbilt ranks 14th nationally in passer rating.

The Commodores are 75th in rushing, averaging 170.2 yards per game. Sedrick Alexander leads the team with 217 rushing yards, three touchdowns, and 4 yards per carry. Quincy Skinner Jr. has 132 receiving yards and one touchdown.

Vanderbilt’s defense is ranked 33rd in the nation, allowing 23.2 points per game. In their recent game, a 30-27 loss to Missouri, they gave up 30 points and 442 total yards, including 216 rushing yards and 226 passing yards.

So far this season, opposing offenses have averaged 212 passing yards per game and 122.8 rushing yards against Vanderbilt. Quarterbacks have completed 60.1% of their passes, with a passer rating of 78.3.