UCLA Bruins vs Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

UCLA and Penn State are set to face off on Saturday, October 5th, with kickoff at 12:00 ET from Beaver Stadium in University Park. The game will be broadcast on FOX, and the Penn State Nittany Lions enter the matchup as the heavy favorite with a -27.5 point spread. The over/under line is currently set at 44.5 points. The Nittany Lions are 4-0 on the season, while the Bruins are 1-3.

UCLA BRUINS VS PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions -27.5

This game will be played at Beaver Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS:

• We have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning this one by a score of 39 to 11
• Not only do we have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -27.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 44.5 points

Will The UCLA Bruins Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

UCLA enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing Penn State on the road. They are ranked 78th in our CFB power rankings and have just a 2.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Bruins are 0-2 at home but 1-1 on the road this season.

Against the spread, UCLA is 2-2, with an average scoring margin of -16 points per game. They’ve been favored in just one game, going 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 2-1 as the underdog.

This week’s over/under line is 44.5 points. UCLA’s games have averaged 45.5 points, and their average O/U line has been 52.6 points, with the over/under record at 1-3.

UCLA’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 14.8 points per game, ranking 100th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is only 27.9%, and they are 128th in rushing, with 58.8 yards per game.

Quarterback Ethan Garbers has thrown for 808 yards with three touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 65. UCLA ranks 122nd in passer rating nationally. T.J. Harden leads the rushing attack with 125 yards and one touchdown, averaging 3 yards per carry. Rico Flores Jr. has 187 receiving yards and one touchdown.

UCLA’s defense has allowed an average of 30.8 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent 34-13 loss to Oregon. The Bruins gave up 434 total yards, with 278 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force one interception.

Opponents have averaged 291 passing yards per game against UCLA, ranking them 160th nationally, while completing 70.4% of their passes. On the ground, the Bruins have allowed just 108.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 33rd in the country.

Are The Penn State Nittany Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

At 4-0, Penn State is preparing to host UCLA in Week 6. The Nittany Lions are ranked 8th in our power rankings and have a 100% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. They also have a 15.4% chance to win the Big Ten and a 60.3% chance to make the College Football Playoff, which ranks 7th in the nation.

Penn State has gone 3-0 at home and 1-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in all four games, posting a +24.8 average scoring margin. Against the spread, they are 2-2, with a 1-2 record at home and 1-0 on the road.

The over/under line for this week is 44.5 points. Penn State’s games have averaged 47.8 points, and their over/under record is 1-3, with an average line of 51.5 points.

Penn State’s offense is averaging 36.2 points per game, placing them 26th in the nation, but they are ranked 18th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. The Nittany Lions are 20th in rushing, with 254 yards per game on 42.5 attempts.

Nicholas Singleton leads the ground attack with 408 rushing yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, and has scored three touchdowns. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 864 yards, with eight touchdowns and one interception, giving him a passer rating of 135.

Penn State’s defense has been a standout unit this season, ranking 6th in the nation by allowing just 11.5 points per game. They’ve been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 78.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 9th nationally. Opposing quarterbacks have managed a passer rating of just 63.2 and a completion percentage of 48.4% against Penn State, the 8th-lowest in the country.

In their recent game against Illinois, Penn State’s defense allowed just 7 points and 34 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Illinois finished with 219 total yards, including 185 passing yards, and Penn State’s defense also came up with an interception.