USC Trojans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

USC is the heavy favorite in this week six matchup against Minnesota, with the point spread set at -8.5. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th, at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The over/under line is currently 51.5 points. USC enters the game with a 3-1 record, while Minnesota is 2-3 on the season. The game will be broadcast on BTN.

USC TROJANS VS MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5

This game will be played at Huntington Bank Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS:

• We have the USC Trojans winning this one by a score of 29 to 23
• Even though we like the USC Trojans to win, our ATS pick is to take the Minnesota Golden Gophers at +8.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 51.5 points

Will The USC Trojans Win As Road Favorites?

USC enters Week 6 with a 3-1 record, ranked 11th in our power rankings. They are 3-0 at home but 0-1 on the road this season. The Trojans have a 97.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 4.5% chance of winning the Big Ten. Their odds of making the CFB playoff stand at 21.6%.

Against the spread, USC is 3-1, with a perfect 3-0 mark at home. They’ve been favored in three of their four games, going 2-1 as the favorite. The Trojans have an average scoring margin of +17.2 points per game this season.

USC’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 51.2 points. Their average over/under line is 56.5 points, and this week’s line is set at 51.5 points.

USC’s offense is averaging 34.2 points per game, placing them 33rd in the nation, and they are ranked 34th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 19th in passing attempts and 15th in completions, with an average of 316 yards per game. They have converted 49.1% of their third-down attempts.

Miller Moss has thrown for 1,198 yards, completing 65.4% of his passes, with eight touchdowns and two interceptions. He has a passer rating of 98. Woody Marks leads the rushing attack with 334 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Ja’Kobi Lane has 221 receiving yards and four touchdowns this season.

USC’s defense has allowed 17 points per game this season, ranking 18th nationally. In their recent game against Wisconsin, they gave up 21 points but limited the Badgers to 286 total yards, including 106 rushing yards on 25 carries. USC’s secondary allowed 180 passing yards and recorded one interception.

Opponents have averaged 149.2 rushing yards per game against USC and 155.8 passing yards, the 23rd-lowest figure in the country. Quarterbacks have completed 63% of their passes with a passer rating of 74 against USC’s defense.

Are The Minnesota Golden Gophers Going Win In At Upset At Huntington Bank Stadium

Minnesota enters Week 6 with a 2-3 record and a 1-2 mark at home. They are ranked 56th in our power rankings and have a 31.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. So far, they’ve been favored in just one game this season.

The Golden Gophers have a +10.6 average scoring margin and a 2-1-1 record against the spread. At home, they are 1-1-1 ATS, and they’ve gone 1-0 as the favorite.

This week’s over/under line is set at 51.5 points. Minnesota’s games have averaged 41.4 points, and their over/under record is 2-2, with an average line of 41.6 points.

Minnesota’s offense ranks 87th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6, averaging 26 points per game. Max Brosmer has thrown for 1,094 yards, leading the passing attack, and the team is 30th in passing attempts per game. They are 22nd in completions, with an average of 21 per game, and 46th in passing yards, averaging 225.8 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 43.8%.

Brosmer has six touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 89. Minnesota is 109th in rushing, averaging 101.4 yards per game. Darius Taylor leads the ground game with 258 yards and five touchdowns. Daniel Jackson has 326 receiving yards on 28 catches.

Despite losing 27-24 to Michigan, Minnesota’s defense held their opponent to just 241 total yards, including 86 passing yards. They also forced an interception in the game.

On the season, Minnesota ranks 23rd nationally, allowing 15.4 points per game. They are 3rd in the country in passing yards allowed, giving up just 96.8 yards per game, and rank 4th in opponent passer rating at 47.4.