Sam Houston Bearkats vs UTEP Miners Betting Pick & Prediction 10/3/24

Sam Houston Bearkats are the -10.5-point favorites as they head into this week six college football matchup vs. the UTEP Miners. The game is set for 9:00 ET at the Sun Bowl in El Paso on Thursday, October 3rd. The over/under line is currently 50.5 points. You can catch this one on CBSS. The Bearkats are 4-1 on the season, while UTEP is still looking for their first win at 0-4.

SAM HOUSTON BEARKATS VS UTEP MINERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UTEP Miners +10.5

This game will be played at Sun Bowl at 9:00 ET on Thursday, October 3rd.

WHY BET THE UTEP MINERS:

• We have the Sam Houston Bearkats winning this one by a score of 27 to 18
• Even though we like the Sam Houston Bearkats to win, our ATS pick is to take the UTEP Miners at +10.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points

Will The Sam Houston Bearkats Win As Road Favorites?

Sam Houston enters Week 6 against UTEP with a 4-1 record, ranked 91st in our power rankings. They have a 98.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 24.1% chance of winning Conference USA. The Bearkats are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Sam Houston is 4-1, with a +5.6 average scoring margin. They are 3-0 ATS at home and 2-0 as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 2-3, with an average total of 54.4 points per game. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, just above their average line of 50.4 points.

Sam Houston’s offense is centered around their running game, as they lead the nation in rushing attempts, averaging 45.6 carries per game. This has translated into 218.6 rushing yards per game, placing them 12th nationally. Jay Ducker leads the team with 278 rushing yards and four touchdowns.

Overall, Sam Houston is averaging 30 points per game, and they have converted 43.2% of their third-down attempts. Hunter Watson has thrown for 635 yards, with five touchdowns and five interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 71. Qua’Vez Humphreys has 234 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Sam Houston’s defense has been allowing 24.4 points per game this season, including 39 points in their recent 40-39 win over Texas State. They gave up 417 total yards, with 326 yards coming through the air and three passing touchdowns.

Opponents have averaged 209.8 passing yards per game against Sam Houston, completing 63.8% of their throws. The Bearkats rank 67th in the nation against the run, allowing 131.2 rushing yards per game on 30.4 attempts, which is the 27th fewest rushing attempts faced in the country.

Are The UTEP Miners Going Win In At Upset At Sun Bowl

UTEP enters Week 6 against Sam Houston with an 0-4 record, ranked 127th in our CFB power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at just 2.3% for the rest of the season.

The Miners have a -16 average scoring margin this season, and they are 1-2 against the spread. They’ve been the underdog in three of their four games, with an ATS record of 1-2 in those matchups.

UTEP’s over/under record is 0-3, with their games averaging 45 points. This week’s line is 50.5 points, slightly below their average line of 51.5 points for the season.

Heading into week 6, UTEP’s offense is averaging just 14.5 points per game, ranking 126th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 31.6%, and their passer rating is 82. On the ground, they are averaging 79.8 rushing yards per game.

Skyler Locklear leads the Miners with 710 passing yards, completing 63.5% of his throws. He has three touchdowns and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 77. UTEP ranks 41st in passing attempts nationally. Kenny Odom has 289 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

UTEP’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 30.5 points per game. In their recent game against Colorado State, they gave up 27 points, allowing 228 rushing yards on 41 carries and 132 passing yards. They did manage to force one interception in the game.

Opponents have averaged 227 rushing yards per game against UTEP, while the secondary has allowed 189.8 passing yards per game. Quarterbacks have completed 68.8% of their passes, posting a passer rating of 105.8 against the Miners.