Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Both the Rays and Red Sox are 80-81 heading into Sunday’s matchup. This one is getting started at 3:05 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, MA. Tampa Bay is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are favored on the money line today (-115). The Red Sox have lost three straight and they are 4th in the AL East.

Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and BSSUN is televising this matchup. Ryan Pepiot is starting for the Rays, while the Red Sox are going with Quinn Priester.

BOSTON RED SOX VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -105

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 3:05 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 5th and were held in check the rest of the game.

Shane Baz started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a costly home run. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Rays were led by Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe, as they were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Caminero. Boston’s top hitter was Triston Casas, who went 1/4 with a home run.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are 80-81 overall and trail the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 26-25 against other AL East teams. Tampa Bay has won two straight games, and they are winning the series vs. the Red Sox with a 2-0 lead.

So far, the Rays have been good at home, going 42-39, and they are just under .500 at 38-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Rays are 37-31 this year and 43-50 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 23-20-7, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

The Rays are 84-77 against the run line this season, including a 47-33 mark on the road. Tampa Bay has covered the run line in three straight road games and is 60-33 against the run line as an underdog. The Rays’ average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it’s -3.4 in losses.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 7.8. The Rays have an over/under record of 67-85 on the season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-17. This is just the 12th game this season where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, accounting for only 7.5% of their games. The majority of their games have had lower over/under lines, with 115 games having lines set below 8.5 runs, making up 71.4% of their games.

Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces off against the Red Sox on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.64 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Pepiot has a WHIP of 1.14 and opponents are batting .205 this season. In his 25 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 9.79 strikeouts per nine innings. Pepiot’s last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Yandy Diaz has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting a team-best .281 and also leads the team with 65 RBIs. Diaz has also gone deep 14 times this season. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, but Lowe is hitting just .244, and Morel is batting only .194. Lowe has been swinging a better bat of late, going 8/29 in his last seven games with two homers.

Overall, the Rays offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting only .230 and are near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. Their collective OPS of .669 is also one of the worst in the MLB.

Red Sox Records & Stats

The Red Sox are 80-81 overall, and they are 13 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 4th in the AL East, tied with the Rays. Boston has dropped three straight games, and this losing streak has come after winning three in a row. In the AL East, they are 24-27 this season.

At home, the Red Sox are 37-43 this season, and they are 43-38 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 39-44 this year and 41-37 as the favorite. So far, their overall series record is 25-19-6, and they have won two straight series.

At home, the Red Sox have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going just 30-50. They have been a much better bet on the road, going 46-35. As the underdog, they are 48-35 on the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 28-50. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, but in losing games, it is -3.8.

The Red Sox are playing at home against the Rays today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-74. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-17. Overall, 63 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.1% of their games.

Right-hander Quinn Priester is getting the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 2-6 and ERA of 5.04. Priester has made 10 appearances this year and has a WHIP of 1.46. Out of his six losses, one came in his most recent outing, where he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work out of the bullpen. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 6.25 strikeouts per nine innings. Priester’s ERA at home is 4.70 compared to 5.07 on the road.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .252, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, with a total of 194 homers.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games. This has pushed his season average up to .285, and he is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Triston Casas has also been hitting well of late, going 7/29 in his last eight games, with four homers. Casas also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.