Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

There appears to be a chance for light rain in New York on Sunday, where the Pirates and Yankees face off at Yankee Stadium. The forecasted temperature is 65 degrees. Pittsburgh is 76-85 and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Yankees are 93-68 and they have lost two straight. Clarke Schmidt is starting for the Yankees, and he will be facing off against Bailey Falter for the Pirates.

New York is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -193 compared to the Pirates at +162. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on YES. First pitch is set for 3:05 PM ET.

PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 3:05 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring two more runs than they did in the first four innings combined. As for the Yankees, they scored their final run in the 7th inning.

Mike Burrows got the win for the Pirates out of the bullpen, while Aroldis Chapman got the save. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

Yasmani Grandal and Nick Yorke each homered for the Pirates, while Jared Triolo scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Billy Cook also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 76-85 overall, and they are 17 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division and have gone 25-27 against other NL Central teams. The Pirates have won two straight games, and they have won three straight on the road.

As the road underdog, the Pirates are 26-36 this year compared to 34-28 as the favorite. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 20-25-6, and they have dropped four straight series. Their overall record at home is 39-42.

The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line overall this season, going 86-75. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 47-33 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have been a profitable bet as an underdog, going 62-37 against the run line.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road to face the New York Yankees, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 77-82. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a record of 31-23. Overall, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 14.9% of their games this season.

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Brewers, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Falter has finished with a no-decision, win, and two losses. His ERA for the season is 4.26, along with a record of 8-9. Opponents have hit .250 off the left-hander this season. Falter has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 6.27 strikeouts per nine innings.

The Pirates offense has struggled this season, as they are just 24th in the MLB in runs scored and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is below the league average. Their team on-base percentage of .301 is also below average, and they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game.

Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .276 with a team-high 24 home runs and 88 RBIs. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates home run and RBI leaderboards.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 93-68 overall this season, which has them leading the AL East by three games over the Orioles. The Yankees will be at home today, hosting the Pirates, and they are 43-37 at home this season. They have been really good on the road, going 50-31.

New York has dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 75-60 as the favorite and 18-8 as the underdog. The Yankees have an overall series record of 30-17-4 this season, and they have won three straight series on the road. As the home favorite, the Yankees are 42-35 this year.

When betting the run line on the Yankees, it has been more profitable to take them on the road this season. They are 49-32 vs. the run line away from Yankee Stadium, compared to just 34-46 at home. Overall, they are 83-78 vs. the run line, but they have been a better bet as the underdog, going 22-4.

Today’s game between the New York Yankees and the Pittsburgh Pirates has an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average for both teams this season is 9.1 runs per game. The Yankees have an over/under record of 85-71 on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 33 of 56 games, which is a 58.9% over rate. The over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs per game.

Clarke Schmidt will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he gets the start for the Yankees today. In that September 24th start, he went 5 1/3 innings, taking the loss and giving up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has made 15 starts, and his ERA for the season is 2.54. Schmidt’s record for the season is 5-5, and he has a WHIP of 1.16. Opposing batters have a batting average of .221 vs. Schmidt this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.74 strikeouts and 2.88 walks.

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This is also the best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .248 (8th) and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. New York’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, hitting 5 home runs over his last eight games while batting .346. For the season, he is batting .322 and leads the league with 144 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a big year for the Yankees, as he is 2nd on the team with 41 homers and is batting .288.