New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Saturday, and he is facing off against Jared Koenig for the Brewers. The Mets are 87-71 this season, while the Brewers are 92-68. This game is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-121).

Both the Mets and Brewers are 2-2 in their last five games. FOX will be televising this NL matchup, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. In the NL East, the Mets are in 2nd place, while the Brewers are leading the NL Central.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -121

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, September 28th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 7 to 6
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 8-4. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -103 on the money line.

Milwaukee got off to a fast start in this one, scoring four runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mets got on the board with two runs in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 8th.

Rhys Hoskins and Gary Sanchez each homered for the Brewers, while Mark Vientos went deep for the Mets. Brice Turang had a three-hit game at the plate and scored three times for Milwaukee.

Mets Records & Stats

With an overall record of 87-71, the Mets are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York has dropped two straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Brewers. So far, they have gone 29-21 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets have gone 46-35 this season, and they are just above .500 at 41-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets have gone 58-38 and 29-33 as the underdog. New York has dropped four straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 28-18-8.

When the Mets are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, as they are 42-35 on the run line away from Citi Field. They have covered the run line in two straight road games, but overall they are just 80-78 on the run line this season. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 36-26, compared to 44-52 as the favorite.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs for their games this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-73. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 15-9-1. Overall, 51.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and comes into the game with a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.74. So far this season, he has made 30 starts, and opponents are batting .231 off the left-hander. Quintana has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 6.83 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Quintana didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. He has won three straight starts. Before this recent stretch, he had gone five straight starts without a win.

Over the past seven games, Brandon Nimmo has struggled for the Mets, hitting just 6/29, but he does have three homers in that stretch. Jose Iglesias has been on fire of late, going 15/33 in his last eight games. This stretch has pushed his season average up to .455.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. Pete Alonso leads the team with 34 homers and has driven in 88 runs, which is also the best mark on the team. Francisco Lindor is batting .273 for the season and has 31 homers.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 92-68 overall, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They have a 10.0 game lead over the Cardinals for the division. The Brewers have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. Their record in the division is 32-20 this season.

At home, the Brewers are 46-33 this season, and they are 46-35 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 54-38 this season and 38-30 as the underdog. Milwaukee has won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 29-18-4. The Brewers have won five straight series on the road.

When betting the run line with the Brewers, it’s best to take them as the underdog. Milwaukee is 45-23 against the run line in those games, compared to 36-56 as the favorite. The Brewers’ overall run line record is 81-79, with an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played to an over/under record of 81-69 this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have a record of 13-13-5. Overall, 52.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Jared Koenig is getting the start for the Brewers today and has made 54 appearances out of the bullpen this season. He has a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.51. Koenig’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and opponents are batting .221 off the left-hander this season. In his last outing, Koenig went one inning out of the bullpen, giving up one earned run on one hit. He did come out of that outing with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight appearances. Koenig has allowed at least one earned run in three of his last five outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks. Milwaukee has been a good home run hitting team this season and are 13th in the league in home runs.

Willy Adames has been a key part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as he is 4th in the league with 111 RBIs and has 32 home runs. He is batting .250 for the year. William Contreras has also been a key run producer for the Brewers, as he has 92 RBIs to go along with a batting average of .282. Rhys Hoskins is just 13th on the team in batting average but is 2nd on the team with 26 homers.