New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Mets and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at +101 compared to the Mets at -121.

New York is 87-70 and 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 91-68. SNY will be televising Friday’s game, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs. Sean Manaea will start for the Mets, while the Brewers are sending Frankie Montas to the mound.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +101

This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 27th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 loss. New York was the +123 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mets, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored three times in the bottom of the first.

New York started Luis Severino, and he took the loss, going only four innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Mets also had only one fewer hit than the Braves but scored just one run. Mark Vientos had the team’s only other good performance at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer.

The Mets are 87-70 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Brewers, and they are 29-21 against other teams in the NL East.

New York lost the final game of their series vs. the Braves and are 6-4 across their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-37 this season and 29-33 as the underdog. They have won six straight games as the favorite. At home, the Mets are 46-35 and have gone 41-35 on the road.

When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 42-34, and their scoring margin is +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four straight games, and their overall run line record is 80-77.

When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-73. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 21 times and under 17 times. Overall, 67.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 3.29 ERA. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. Looking at his overall numbers, Manaea has turned in 15 quality starts, and opponents are batting .191 this season. In his last outing, Manaea picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run.

For the season, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .247, which is 10th in the league, and are 6th in the league in home runs.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor batting .271 with 31 homers and Alonso hitting .242 with a team-high 34 homers. Alonso also leads the team with 88 RBIs. Lindor and Alonso will look to keep their hitting streaks alive, as Lindor has a four-game streak, and Acuna has a three-game streak. Over his last eight games, Luisangel Acuna is batting .400 with three homers.

Brewers Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Brewers closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -120 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs, both of which came in the 7th.

Aaron Civale put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Pirates batters. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Joey Ortiz, who went 3/3 with a double, run scored, and an RBI.

Milwaukee is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 91-68, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cardinals by 10 games for the division lead. The Brewers have gone 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central this year.

The Brewers have been good on the road this year, going 46-35, and they are just above .500 with a 45-33 record at home. Milwaukee has won five straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 29-18-4 this year. As the underdog at home, the Brewers are 10-12 this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 37-30.

The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they have covered in 80 of their 159 games. They have been especially good on the road, going 45-36. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-23, compared to 36-56 as the favorite. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played to a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their games have gone over the total 80 times while going under 69 times. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Brewers have gone over 22 times and under 16 times. Overall, 115 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 72.3% of their contests.

Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Mets at home. Montas has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Montas has a WHIP of 1.37 and has issued 3.87 walks per nine innings compared to 8.71 strikeouts. He has turned in nine quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up seven earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in three straight outings.

Shortstop Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 homers are 10th in the league and the most on the team. He is also 4th in the MLB with 111 RBIs. Adames has been hot of late, hitting .333 over his last six games. Catcher William Contreras is batting .281 for the season and has 23 homers, which is 3rd on the team.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Currently, they are 8th in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.