Kansas City Royals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24

There is a chance for light rain in Atlanta on Friday, where the Braves and Royals will face off at Truist Park. The forecasted temperature is 72 degrees. First pitch is currently scheduled for 7:20 PM ET.

Max Fried and the Braves are on a three-game winning streak, and they are the heavy favorites on the money line, with odds of -196. The Royals, who are 85-74, will start Brady Singer. Kansas City is +164 on the money line, and their three-game winning streak has them 2nd in the AL Central. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and BSKC will be televising the game.

KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Friday, September 27th.

HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Royals Records & Stats

To close out their series vs. the Nationals, the Royals picked up a 7-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. Offensively, the Royals scored their seven runs on eight hits and only hit one home run. It was a big 3rd inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the inning, and added another three runs in the 9th to close things out.

Michael Wacha got the start for the Royals, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. The Royals’s offense was carried by Hunter Renfroe, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Kansas City is seven games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead as they are 85-74 overall. The Royals have been good against other teams in the AL Central, putting together a record of 33-19. They come into today’s game having won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Nationals with three straight wins.

As the road team today, the Royals are 40-38 this season, and they are 45-36 at home. As the underdog, the Royals are 35-43 this season compared to 50-31 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 23-26-2, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When the Royals are on the road, they have a run line record of 44-34, covering the run line in two straight games. They have a run line record of 46-32 as the underdog and 41-40 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3.

The Kansas City Royals have played in 130 games this season with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which is 81.8% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 69-85. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-15. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs per game.

Brady Singer is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Royals today. Against the Giants, he gave up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Singer ended up taking the loss in that game. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up at least two home runs in three of those starts. Singer’s ERA for the season is 3.73, along with a record of 9-12. Out of his 31 starts, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.55 strikeouts per nine innings.

So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game (13th) and have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team, which is 7th in the league, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the MLB. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage and OPS are both right around league average.

Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been the team’s top two power threats this season, with Witt Jr. leading the team with 32 homers and Perez right behind him with 27. Witt Jr. has also been one of the team’s top hitters of late, going 9/25 in his last seven games. Perez is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Braves Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -145. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on json0 hits and only hit two home runs.

Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Michael Harris II, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta will host the Royals today with a three-game winning streak, and they closed out their series vs. the Mets with a win. So far this year, they are 27-23 in the division.

At home, the Braves are 43-33 this year, and they are 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 73-53 and 41-29 when favored at home. Atlanta’s overall series record is 29-17-7, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they’re 75-82 on the run line this season. They’ve been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 43-38, compared to 32-44 at home. They’ve been favored in 126 games this season, going 57-69 on the run line. They’ve been an underdog in 31 games, going 18-13 on the run line.

When the Atlanta Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.2 runs per game. The Braves have an over/under record of 58-93 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-20. In 73.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.

Max Fried is looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went six innings. Fried has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 10-10. His ERA is 3.42, along with a WHIP of 1.20. This year, opponents are batting .227 vs. Fried. The left-hander has turned in 15 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Per nine innings, Fried is averaging 8.53 strikeouts and 2.99 walks.

Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been the Braves’ top power threats this season, as Ozuna leads the team with 39 homers (5th in the league) and Olson is 2nd on the team with 29 homers. Ozuna also comes into the game with a team-high 102 RBIs, which is 9th in the league. Ozuna has been on a tear of late, as he is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone deep five times in his last eight games.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, the Braves are 4th in the league in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power mark.