Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/27/24

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Rays and Red Sox facing off in an AL East matchup. Friday’s forecast in Boston calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET.

Boston is the slight favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -133 compared to the Rays at +114. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Nick Pivetta will start for the Red Sox, while the Rays are starting Taj Bradley. Tampa Bay is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 78-81 overall, while the Red Sox are 80-79.

BOSTON RED SOX VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -133

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 27th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Rays Records & Stats

Tampa Bay closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Rays were the +135 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Rays, as they got on the board with two runs in the 3rd inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Tigers scored two runs in the 6th to take the lead and added another two runs in the 8th to close things out.

Tyler Alexander put together a good start for the Rays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six. However, the Rays’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Garrett Cleavinger took the loss out of the bullpen. The Rays also wasted a big game from Taylor Walls, who went 2/3 with two runs scored.

Tampa Bay is 78-81 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 15 games in the division. The Rays head into today’s game having dropped three straight games, losing the final three games of their series vs. the Tigers.

At home, the Rays are 42-39 this season compared to 36-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 41-50 this year, and they are 37-31 when favored. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 23-20-7 this year.

The Rays are 45-33 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they are just 24-44 vs. the run line as the favorite. They are 58-33 vs. the run line as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.4 in losses.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Rays’ games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-84. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-24-2. So far this season, 46 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 28.9% of their games.

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.29. Bradley’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts. Bradley’s ERA is higher on the road this season at 5.7 compared to 5.3 at home. His last outing came on September 21st, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including home runs, batting average, and on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting just .230.

Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top offensive performer this season, with a team-high 65 RBIs and a batting average of .282. He also has 14 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, but Morel is batting just .194 this season. Lowe has gone 10/40 over his last 10 games, with three homers.

Red Sox Records & Stats

The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 6-1 loss. Boston was the +113 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Richard Fitts had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Red Sox’s offense scored their only run in thejson 1st inning and wasted several good performances. Jarren Duran and Nick Sogard each had two hits. Duran scored the team’s only run and Sogard had a double.

Boston will take on the Rays with an 80-79 overall record, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 13 games behind the Yankees. So far, they are just one game below .500 in the division, coming in with a mark of 24-25. At home, the Red Sox are 37-41 this year and 43-38 on the road.

As the home team, the Red Sox have gone 26-28 when favored this year, and they are 41-35 as the favorite overall. Boston has struggled as the underdog, going 39-44 this year. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 25-19-6. The Red Sox have won two straight series and took two of three from the Blue Jays in their most recent series. Heading into today’s game, they are 5-5 over their last 10.

Despite being just one game over .500 on the run line overall, the Red Sox have been a profitable bet on the run line on the road, going 46-35. They have also been a good bet on the run line in their last two games, both of which they have covered. They have been a good bet on the run line as the underdog, going 48-35, but have struggled as the favorite, going 28-48.

Today’s over/under line for the Boston Red Sox game against the Tampa Bay Rays is set at 8 runs. The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 78-73, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-11-3. Overall, 66% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Twins, he only gave up four hits and issued three walks. Pivetta finished with the no-decision in that outing, but the Red Sox ended up winning the game. Overall, he has made 25 starts, and opponents are batting .228 this season. Pivetta’s ERA for the season is 4.21, along with a record of 6-11. For the year, he has allowed 28 homers. Per nine innings, Pivetta is averaging 2.27 walks compared to 10.75 strikeouts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 9th in the league in runs scored at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, the team is batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and they are also the top team in the league in terms of batting average on balls in play.

Jarren Duran comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .286 for the season. He has also gone 10/33 in his last eight games. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, with 28 homers and 83 RBIs. Tyler O’Neill leads the team with 31 homers but is batting just .240 for the season.