Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET. This one is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (-138) compared to the Blue Jays (+117). The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Richard Fitts will start for the Red Sox, and he will be facing off against Kevin Gausman. Boston comes in with a record of 80-78, and they are currently on a four-game winning streak. The Blue Jays are 73-85 and have lost five straight.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -138

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston rallied for three runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 7th but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +110 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Bowden Francis, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in five innings of work for the Blue Jays. Tommy Nance took the loss. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen for the Red Sox as Brayan Bello went just four innings, giving up two earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort for the Blue Jays. Vaughn Grissom had a three-hit game for the Red Sox, scoring three times.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 80-78 overall this season. The Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the division. This season, they have gone 24-24 in divisional games.

At home, the Red Sox are just below .500 at 37-41 this season. On the road, they are 43-37, and they have won two straight road games. So far, they have been the favorite in 76 games, where they are 41-35. As for their games as the underdog, they are 39-43 this season. Boston’s overall series record is 23-20-6, and they are winning their current series vs. the Blue Jays.

When it comes to run line betting, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 46-34 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been an underdog in four straight games. Boston’s average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

Today’s game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays has an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average for both teams this season is 9.3 runs per game. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 78-72 this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-11-3. Overall, 66.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Richard Fitts will be making his third start of the season for the Red Sox, and he has yet to factor into a decision. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, allowing 2 earned runs in his first start and 0 in his second. Fitts has 3 strikeouts in each of his first two starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s top batting average on balls in play. Boston also has a team batting average of .253, which is 6th in the majors.

Over his last nine games, Jarren Duran has gone 9/38, but he has yet to homer in this stretch. For the season, he is batting .285 and is on a five-game hitting streak. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are the team’s top power threats, with 28 and 31 homers, respectively.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 73-85 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 19.5 games in the division. The Blue Jays have dropped five straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. This season, they are just 20-31 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Blue Jays are 38-39 and 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-31 and 29-54 as the underdog. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight as the home favorite, and their overall series record is 17-26-6.

Despite a losing record against the run line at home, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the road, going 51-30. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-36, compared to 32-43 as the favorite. They have gone under the run line in their last three home games and in four straight games overall.

When the Toronto Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-75. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 25-18-2. Overall, 71 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, accounting for 44.9% of their games.

Kevin Gausman is coming off a strong outing for the Blue Jays, as he didn’t allow a run in his start vs. the Rangers on September 19th. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up just one hit. Gausman finished with six strikeouts and got the win in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has made 30 starts and has a record of 13-11. His ERA for the season is 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.22. This year, he has two complete games and one shutout to go along with 15 quality starts. Per nine innings, Gausman is averaging 8.18 strikeouts and just 2.73 walks.

Currently, the Blue Jays are 21st in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This is also where they sit in terms of home runs, as they have just 153 homers this season. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and they have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .324 with 30 homers and 102 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games.

George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but he is batting just .219 for the season. The Blue Jays have a couple of players on four-game hitting streaks, as Justin Turner and Leo Jiménez have both been swinging the bat well of late.