New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain for Wednesday’s Braves vs. Mets matchup, with the forecasted temperature being 77 degrees in Atlanta. The game will start at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park, and SNY will be televising the game.

The Braves are favored at -188 on the money line, and they come in with a record of 86-71, while the Mets are 87-70 overall. Chris Sale will start for the Braves, while the Mets are sending David Peterson to the mound. Atlanta is currently on a three-game winning streak, while the Mets have won two straight. This game is the 2nd vs. 3rd matchup in the NL East, with the Mets leading the season series 9-7.

NEW YORK METS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +158

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Atlanta picked up a 5-1 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all five of their runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -145 on the money line.

Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued five walks. Luis Severino got the start for the Mets, going just four innings and giving up four runs on seven hits.

Michael Harris II was the difference for the Braves’ offense, as he went 3/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Marcell Ozuna also homered for Atlanta, going 1/3 with two RBIs. Mark Vientos had a two-hit game for the Mets, including a home run.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 87-70 overall and trail the Phillies by 5.5 games in the NL East. New York is 29-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are on the road today, and they have a road record of 41-35.

As the favorite, the Mets have gone 58-37 this year and are 29-33 as the underdog. New York has dropped three straight on the road, and their overall series record is 27-17-8. The Mets have won two straight series.

When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 42-34. Their average run margin in road games is +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 2 of their last 3 road games.

The Mets are on the road against the Braves tonight, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 79-73. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mets are 21-17 on the over for the season. Overall, 67.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their under streak is currently at 2 games.

The Mets are sending left-hander David Peterson to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Peterson has a WHIP of 1.33 and has issued 3.39 walks per nine innings compared to 7.34 strikeouts. Peterson has turned in 11 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in four straight starts.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him at 31. Alonso is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 88, while Lindor is 3rd on the team at 86. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .271, while Alonso is batting .242 for the season.

Jose Iglesias has been on a tear of late for the Mets, hitting .421 over his last nine games. During this stretch, he has scored seven runs. Overall, he is on a 17-game hitting streak. Lindor is also swinging a hot bat of late, as he has a four-game hitting streak going into today’s game. Over his last eight games, Brandon Nimmo has three homers but is just 7/31.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves trail the Phillies by 6.5 games for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the NL East, just a game behind the Mets for 2nd place. Atlanta has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10.

At home, the Braves are 43-33 this season and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 73-53 and 41-29 when favored at home. Atlanta’s overall series record is 28-16-7, and they have won two straight series, which includes two straight series wins on the road.

Atlanta is 75-82 against the run line this season, including a 32-44 mark at home. The Braves have an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.0 runs per game at home. They are 43-38 against the run line on the road, where they have an average run differential of +1.2 runs per game. Atlanta has covered the run line in 57 of 126 games as the favorite and in 18 of 31 games as the underdog.

The Braves are playing at home tonight against the Mets, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-93. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 13-20. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and only 5.7% have had lower lines.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 18-3 and an ERA of 2.38. So far this season, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .210 vs. Sale this year. Currently, Sale is riding a streak of 22 2/3 innings without allowing a homer. Sale has been especially tough at home, going 10-0 with a 2.75 ERA compared to 8-3 with a 2.50 ERA on the road. His ERA for the season is the best in the majors, and he ranks second in strikeouts with 225.

Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been a great 1-2 punch for the Braves this season, as Ozuna is batting .310 with 39 homers and 102 RBIs, and Olson is hitting .246 with 29 homers and 98 RBIs. Both players are on good hitting streaks, with Ozuna having a seven-game streak and Olson at three games. Over his last 10 games, Michael Harris II has been on fire, going 19/45 with five homers and 10 RBIs.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and they have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 5th ranked scoring offense. Atlanta is also near the top of the league in isolated power and have been a tough team to strike out this season.