Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

The Orioles and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup at 7:05 PM ET at Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. Baltimore is 2nd in the AL East with a record of 87-70, while the Yankees lead the division at 92-65.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -150 compared to the Orioles at +126. Wednesday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and YES will be televising the game.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -150

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Yankees series. Baltimore went into the matchup as +140 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Orioles offense only had three more hits than the Yankees and struck out nine times, but still picked up the win.

New York wasted a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, as he gave up just three hits and three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Aaron Judge did hit a home run for the Yankees, going 1/3 with three RBIs.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles, giving up just one hit and one earned run across five innings. He finished with three strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Seranthony Dominguez got the save out of the bullpen.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 87-70 overall and trail the Yankees by five games in the AL East. So far, they have gone 31-19 in divisional games. Baltimore is on a five-game losing streak in series, and their overall series record is 24-18-7 this year. At home, the Orioles have gone 44-37, and they are above .500 on the road, with a record of 43-33.

As the favorite, the Orioles are 70-52 this year, and they are 17-18 when the underdog. Baltimore’s overall record has them just above .500, as they have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have covered the run line in 45 of 76 games. Their average scoring margin in those games is +0.7 runs per game. They are 23-12 against the run line as an underdog and 22-19 as a favorite. The average run margin in their wins is +3.7 runs per game, while in their losses it is -3.5 runs per game.

When the Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their season average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 83-63. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 10-7. Overall, 79.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs this season.

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.53. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13, and he has turned in 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Eflin is averaging 7.45 strikeouts and just 1.06 walks. In his last outing, Eflin finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in team batting average at .247. Baltimore’s offense has been very good in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. The team’s isolated power of .187 is 2nd in the league.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the league. However, he is batting just .235 for the year and has really struggled of late, going just 3/25 in his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games, and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 92-65 overall and lead the AL East by five games over the Orioles. New York is 25-25 in divisional games and have won five straight series. Overall, they have a series record of 30-15-4 this year.

At home, the Yankees are 42-34 this year and have been really good on the road at 50-31. As the favorite, the Yankees are 74-57 this year and 18-8 as the underdog. New York has gone 7-3 over their last 10 games and are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of the series vs. the Orioles.

When betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been a much better proposition to back them on the road this season. New York is 49-32 against the run line away from the Bronx, compared to just 33-43 at home. The Yankees have an average run margin of 1.4 away from home, compared to 0.4 at Yankee Stadium. They are 22-4 against the run line as an underdog, but just 60-71 as the favorite.

The Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 82-70, and their games have averaged a total of 9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-9, and 86.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 30 starts this year and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.77. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts. Cortes most recently pitched vs. the Mariners, where he went six innings, giving up no earned runs and six hits. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Cortes has allowed a total of six earned runs in his last four outings.

Not only are the Yankees the best home run hitting team in the league, but they are also 3rd in the league in runs scored at 5 per game. Overall, they are 8th in team batting average and have the league’s top on-base percentage. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 56 homers and Soto’s 40 homers being 4th in the league.

Both Judge and Gleyber Torres have been swinging hot bats of late, with Judge batting .357 with four homers in his last nine games and Torres also hitting .357 in that stretch. Torres’ two homers are also 2nd on the team, behind Judge. Torres is also on a four-game hitting streak, while DJ LeMahieu and Judge are on streaks of 5 and 3 games, respectively.