Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/30/24

ESPN will be covering the week four AFC matchup between the Titans and Dolphins, which is set for Monday, September 30th at 7:30 ET. The game, played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, will see the Dolphins as the slight +1 point underdogs on the road. The Titans are the -111 favorite on the money line, and the over/under line is at 36.5 points.

TENNESSEE TITANS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tennessee Titans -1

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 7:30 ET on Monday, September 30th.

WHY BET THE TENNESSEE TITANS:

• We have the Titans winning this one by a score of 22 to 19
• Not only do we have the Titans winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
• Look for this game to go over the line of 36.5 points

Will The Titans Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Titans lost 30-14 to the Packers, dropping their season record to 0-3. Tennessee was not only defeated, but they also failed to cover the spread as 3-point favorites at home. The Titans quickly fell behind, as the Packers led 17-7 after the 1st quarter. Tennessee managed to score in the 1st quarter, with Will Levis connecting with Nick Vannett for a touchdown, but Green Bay responded with 17 unanswered points.

After the Titans’ initial touchdown, the Packers added a field goal in the 2nd quarter, and Tennessee trailed 20-7 at halftime. In the 3rd quarter, the Titans found the endzone with a touchdown pass from Levis to DeAndre Hopkins, making the score 27-14 in favor of the Packers. However, neither team scored in the 4th quarter. The over/under line was set at 37, and the teams combined for 44 points.

The Titans’ offense struggled to establish a running game in their 30-14 loss to the Packers, finishing with just 33 yards on 11 attempts. Quarterback Will Levis was under pressure throughout the game, being sacked eight times, and still managed to throw for 260 yards while completing 76% of his passes. However, he also threw two interceptions. The offense as a whole had 18 first downs and 204 yards passing.

DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 73 yards receiving and caught one of Levis’ touchdown passes. Tony Pollard was the leading rusher with 14 yards on six attempts. The Titans finished with a 33.3% third-down conversion rate.

In the Titans’ 30-14 loss to the Packers, their defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 188 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Despite allowing just 190 passing yards, they allowed one passing touchdown and failed to give up any completions in the passing game. The Titans’ offense managed just 14 points and 3-of-14 on third down.

Tennessee’s defense did come up with three sacks in the game, but they also lost the quarterback hit differential by a margin of -9. The Titans’ inability to stop the run and get off the field on third down contributed to their defeat.

Will The Dolphins Win At Home Over The Titans?

The Dolphins fell behind early in their most recent game, as the Seahawks led 17-3 after the 1st quarter. Miami went on to lose 24-3, dropping their record to 1-2. The Dolphins were +4 point underdogs heading into the game, and with the 21-point loss, they failed to cover the spread. The combined 27 points was lower than the over/under line of 41.5 points.

Miami managed a field goal with 15 seconds left in the 1st quarter but couldn’t mount a comeback. The Dolphins didn’t score after the 1st quarter, and the Seahawks added a touchdown in the 4th quarter to close out the game.

The Dolphins’ offense struggled in their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, managing just 13 first downs and 140 yards passing. Miami’s running game was limited to 65 yards on 18 attempts. Skylar Thompson, who went 13/19 for 107 yards, was sacked six times and finished with a passer rating of 82.

De’Von Achane led the team with 30 yards rushing and added 28 receiving yards. Tyreek Hill was the top receiver with 40 yards. Miami failed to convert on 91.7% of their third down attempts.

In their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 270 passing yards, with Seattle finding success through the air. Miami struggled to stop the run, giving up 100 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. Despite allowing 370 total yards, the Dolphins did not allow a single completion in the passing game, and they forced two interceptions.

Miami’s defense managed three sacks in the game and held Seattle to a 27.3% conversion rate on third downs. However, the Dolphins also gave up a defensive touchdown and finished with a tough tackles for loss differential.