New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

The 49ers are favored by -10 as they host the Patriots at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA. This week four non-conference matchup is on Sunday, September 29th at 4:05 ET. The 49ers are -526 on the money line, while the Patriots’ money line odds are +389. FOX is handling the television coverage, and the over/under line is 39.5 points.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco 49ers -10

This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

WHY BET THE SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS:

  • We have the 49ers winning this one by a score of 25 to 12
  • Not only do we have the 49ers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 39.5 points

Will The Patriots Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

The Patriots are now 1-2 after a 24-3 loss to the Jets in their most recent game. New England was +6.5 point underdogs on the road and didn’t come close to covering the spread, losing by 21 points. The 27 total points were well below the over/under line of 39 points.

New England fell behind early, with the Jets leading 7-0 after the 1st quarter. The Patriots managed only a field goal in the 2nd quarter, and the Jets added another touchdown to make it 21-3 heading into the 4th. Aaron Rodgers and Allen Lazard connected for a touchdown in the 1st, and Rodgers found Garrett Wilson for another score just before halftime.
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  • 1st Quarter, 4:26 – NY Jets score a touchdown: Aaron Rodgers passed to Allen Lazard for a 10-yard touchdown. Score: NYJ 7, NE 0.
  • 2nd Quarter, 8:33 – NY Jets score a touchdown: Breece Hall rushed up the middle for a 1-yard touchdown. Score: NYJ 14, NE 0.
  • 2nd Quarter, 4:0 – New England scores a field goal: Joey Slye kicked a 44-yard field goal. Score: NYJ 14, NE 3.
  • 2nd Quarter, 0:11 – NY Jets score a touchdown: Aaron Rodgers passed to Garrett Wilson for a 2-yard touchdown. Score: NYJ 21, NE 3.
  • 4th Quarter, 10:19 – NY Jets score a field goal: Greg Zuerlein kicked a 28-yard field goal. Score: NYJ 24, NE 3.

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The Patriots’ offense struggled in their 24-3 loss to the Jets, managing just 11 first downs and 61 yards passing. New England’s running game had just 15 attempts but averaged 5.2 yards per attempt, with Antonio Gibson leading the team with 29 yards on five carries.

New England’s quarterbacks were sacked seven times, with Jacoby Brissett going 12/18 for 98 yards passing. Brissett was the team’s leading passer and didn’t throw any touchdowns. Demario Douglas led the team with 69 yards receiving.

In the Patriots’ 24-3 loss to the Jets, their defense allowed 267 passing yards, with two passing touchdowns, and 133 rushing yards on 33 attempts. New England’s offense managed just a field goal in this one. The Patriots’ defense didn’t allow a single completion in the game, but the Jets still found success moving the ball, finishing with 400 total yards.

The Patriots struggled on third downs, allowing the Jets to convert 66.7% of their third down attempts. Additionally, New England’s defense only came away with two sacks and lost the quarterback hit differential by -11.

Are The 49ers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Despite leading 14-0 after the 1st quarter and 21-14 heading into the 4th, the 49ers lost to the Rams 27-24, dropping their record to 1-2. The 49ers missed a chance to extend their lead in the 4th when Jake Moody missed a 55-yard field goal with 2:48 remaining. The Rams tied the game at 24 with 2:43 left in the 4th and then took the lead for good with a field goal with five seconds remaining.

San Francisco’s Brock Purdy connected with Jauan Jennings for two touchdowns in the 1st quarter. After the Rams pulled within 14-7 late in the 2nd quarter, the 49ers added another touchdown in the 3rd quarter. However, the Rams outscored the 49ers 13-3 in the 4th quarter.

Despite the 27-24 loss to the Rams, the 49ers’ offense put up 25 first downs and 288 yards through the air. They also converted on 54.5% of their third down attempts. Brock Purdy, who threw for 292 yards and three touchdowns, led the passing game. He completed 73% of his passes and was not intercepted.

Jordan Mason led the ground attack with 77 yards rushing, while Jauan Jennings had a big game receiving, with 175 yards and three touchdowns. The 49ers’ offense collectively rushed for 137 yards and allowed just one sack in the game.

In their 27-24 loss to the Rams, the 49ers’ defense allowed 198 passing yards. The defense did not allow a single completion in the passing game, but they did give up one passing touchdown. The Rams were 41.7% on 3rd down and the 49ers’ defense finished with three sacks. The 49ers’ defense also held the Rams to just 98 rushing yards on 26 attempts.