New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

The over/under line is set at 42 points as the Falcons, who are -123 on the money line and -1.5 point favorites, host the Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This week four NFC South matchup is being televised on FOX. The Saints’ record and the Falcons’ record are not included.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS ATLANTA FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Orleans Saints +1.5

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS SAINTS:

• We have the Saints winning this one by a score of 23 to 22
• Not only do we have the Saints winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 42 points

Will The Saints Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Despite holding a 3-0 lead at halftime, the Saints ended up losing 15-12 to the Eagles, dropping their season record to 2-1. New Orleans missed a good opportunity to score in the 3rd quarter, and the Eagles took the lead in the 4th with a touchdown. The Saints did manage to take a 12-7 lead with just over two minutes left in the 4th quarter, as Derek Carr connected with Chris Olave for a touchdown. However, the Eagles quickly responded with a touchdown of their own, and the Saints couldn’t recover.

Heading into the game, the Saints were 2.5-point favorites, and the over/under line was set at 49 points. With a combined total of 27 points, those who bet the under came out on top. The Saints’ early 3-0 lead came from a 36-yard field goal by Blake Grupe in the 1st quarter.

Alvin Kamara was limited to just 87 yards on 26 carries, as the Saints managed only 89 yards on the ground in their 15-12 loss to the Eagles. New Orleans’ passing game struggled, with Derek Carr throwing for just 142 yards on 14 completions. Carr’s one touchdown went to Chris Olave, who finished with 86 yards receiving.

The Saints’ offense as a whole gained only 130 yards through the air. They finished with just 12 first downs and allowed 460 yards to the Eagles. New Orleans’ offense couldn’t get much going, going 3.3 yards per attempt on the ground and converting 46.2% of their third down attempts.

In their 15-12 loss to the Eagles, the Saints’ defense allowed 172 rushing yards on just 25 attempts, including a long 82-yard touchdown run by Jalen Hurts. Despite this, they did not allow a single completion in the passing game. The Saints’ defense forced the Eagles to finish with a 0.0% completion percentage, although Hurts did throw for 288 yards and the Eagles had the last laugh with the win.

New Orleans’ defense also came away with four sacks and one interception. The Saints allowed the Eagles to convert on 42.9% of their third down attempts.

Will The Falcons Win At Home Over The Saints?

Despite leading 14-13 at halftime, the Falcons lost 22-17 to the Chiefs, dropping their record to 1-2. Atlanta initially took the lead with a touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Drake London in the first quarter. However, the Chiefs tied it up in the 2nd quarter, and the Falcons added one more touchdown from Cousins to Kyle Pitts before halftime.

In the 3rd quarter, the Falcons’ offense stalled, and the Chiefs took the lead for good with a touchdown and field goal from Harrison Butker. Atlanta did manage a field goal in the 4th quarter, but they were unable to complete the comeback. The Falcons were +3 point underdogs and lost both straight-up and against the spread. The combined 39 points was below the over/under line of 46.5 points.

The Falcons’ offense managed 82 yards on the ground from 25 attempts in their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs. Atlanta’s passing game, led by Kirk Cousins, put up 229 yards through the air. Cousins completed 20 of 29 passes for 230 yards, with one touchdown and one interception.

Drake London was the top receiver for Atlanta, with 67 yards and a touchdown. The Falcons had 19 first downs and went 2 of 9 on third down in the game.

In their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Falcons’ defense allowed 217 passing yards, with Kansas City completing 0 passes. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns. The Falcons’ run defense allowed 128 yards on 33 attempts, with Kansas City finishing with 345 total yards. Atlanta forced one interception and held the Chiefs to a 42.9% conversion rate on third down. The Falcons also struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and a -6 differential in tackles for loss.