Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24
The Phillies and Mets are set to square off in an NL East matchup at 7:15 PM ET at Citi Field in New York, NY. The money line odds have the Phillies at -158 compared to the Mets at +133. The over/under line is currently at 6.5 runs.
ESPN is carrying the Phillies vs. Mets matchup on TV, and Zack Wheeler will go for the Phillies, while the Mets are starting Tylor Megill. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East, while the Mets are 2nd, and the Phillies are 92-63 overall, while the Mets are 86-69.
NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +133
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:15 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run lead heading into the 7th inning and scored three insurance runs in the bottom of the 8th. As for the Phillies, they scored their only run in the 5th and added two more in the top of the 8th.
Sean Manaea started for the Mets and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did not issue a walk. Edwin Diaz closed things out. Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits.
Francisco Alvarez and Luisangel Acuna each homered for the Mets, while Jose Iglesias went 2/5 with an RBI. Nick Castellanos hit a home run for the Phillies, going 1/3.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia holds a six-game lead over the Mets in the NL East as they close in on the division title. The Phillies are 92-63 overall and are 28-20 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have taken two of three games vs. the Mets and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Phillies have been really good this year, going 52-26. On the road, they are above .500 at 40-37. As the favorite, the Phillies are 79-45 this year and 28-22 when favored on the road. In all games on the road, they are 25-17-7 in series record.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 75-80 overall. They’ve been even better on the road, going 40-37, and they’ve covered the run line in their last two games as the favorite. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they’ve been a better bet at home than on the road, going 35-43.
The over/under line for the Phillies’ game against the Mets is set at 6.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 73-74. The over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs per game, and they have gone over the line in three straight games.
Zack Wheeler has been excellent for the Phillies this season, coming into the game with a record of 16-6 and an ERA of 2.56. He has made 30 starts and pitched 24 quality starts this year. Wheeler has a WHIP of .95 and is averaging 9.88 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Wheeler went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He has won each of his last four starts. Wheeler has been tough to beat at home, going 10-3 with a 2.56 ERA compared to 6-3 with a 3.49 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 4th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. Philadelphia’s offense has been led by Kyle Schwarber, who is 7th in the league with 36 homers and 11th in the league with 99 RBIs. Schwarber is also on a six-game hitting streak.
Over his last six games, Nick Castellanos has gone 7/23 with two homers, and Alec Bohm has two homers in his last five games. For the season, Bohm is batting .288 with 15 homers, and Bryce Harper is batting .285 with 29 homers.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Mets are 86-69 heading into today’s game vs. the Phillies, and they are 28-20 in divisional matchups. New York has taken two of the first three games of this series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Mets are 45-35 this season and have gone 41-34 on the road. New York has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 28-32 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-37 this year, and their overall series record is 27-15-8. Looking at their recent play, the Mets are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line on the Mets this season, it’s been a coin flip. They’re 79-76 vs. the run line overall, but they’ve been a bit better on the road (42-33) than at home (37-43). They’ve been a slight favorite in the majority of their games, but they’ve actually been a better bet vs. the run line as an underdog (35-25) than as the favorite (44-51).
The Mets are at home today against the Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 6.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 79-71. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. The over/under record in games with a line of 6.5 runs is 0-0, and the percentage of their games with lines over 6.5 runs is 100.0%. The over has hit in their last five games.
Tylor Megill will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Nationals and picked up the win. In that September 17th outing, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Megill has made 13 starts and three of them have been quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.08, along with a record of 4-5. The right-hander’s WHIP for the season is 1.26, and opponents are batting .217 off him this year. Megill’s ERA at home is 3.96, compared to 6.1 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets offense is 5th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Mets are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. New York also does a good job of working the count, as they are 7th in the league in walks.
Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso’s 34 homers leading the team and Lindor’s 31 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Over his last six games, Lindor has gone 12/26 with a homer, and Jose Iglesias has also been hot, going 12/26 in his last six games. Iglesias is also on a 15-game hitting streak.