Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/20/24
David Peterson and the Mets (85-68) will host the Phillies on Friday, as they look to continue their hot streak, as they have won four in a row. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 91-62 and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Cristopher Sanchez will be on the mound for the Phillies.
The money line odds have the Mets at -109 compared to the Phillies at -108, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. This NL East matchup can be seen on APLTV, and first pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 20th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York cruised to a 10-6 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored three of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -137 on the money line.
Luis Severino started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Taijuan Walker had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss after going just 3 1/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs.
Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/3 with three RBIs. Trea Turner hit a home run for the Phillies, going 1/5.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 91-62, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Mets. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, with their loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 27-19 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been really good this year, going 52-26. On the road, they are just above .500 at 39-36. As the road underdog, the Phillies are 12-14 this season, and they have dropped two straight as the road underdog.
Philadelphia is 39-36 on the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last game away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.4 runs per game, and they have an overall run line record of 74-79 this season. The Phillies have been favored in 123 of their games, going 58-65 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.9 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.8 runs per game.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies have a 71-74 over/under record this season, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Phillies have a 13-16 record. The majority of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with 111 of their games having higher lines (72.5% of their games). Only 13 games have had lower over/under lines than 7.5 runs (8.5% of their games).
Through 29 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.24. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. Sánchez has made 17 quality starts this year, along with two complete games and one shutout. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Sánchez has been much better at home this year, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.23. On the road, his ERA is 5.61.
As a team, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have been very good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP of .31 is 2nd in the league. Philadelphia also has a team batting average of .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power hitters this season, with Schwarber’s 35 homers leading the team and Harper’s 29 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Harper has also been hot of late, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with three homers. Schwarber is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are also four games into their winning streak. New York is 85-68 overall, and they lead the Phillies 27-19 in divisional games. The Mets took the series opener, and their overall series record is 27-15-8 this season.
At home, the Mets are 44-34 compared to 41-34 on the road. New York has won four straight games at home, and they are 37-23 as the home favorite this season. As the favorite overall, the Mets are 57-37 this season.
The Mets are 78-75 against the run line this season, including a 36-42 mark at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 against the run line in their last three games as the favorite. On the season, they have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game.
The New York Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 77-71, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-16. Overall, 69.3% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last three games.
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.85. So far, he has made 19 appearances and 11 of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision against the Phillies, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .235 this season off the left-hander. Per nine innings, Peterson is averaging 7.26 strikeouts and 3.51 walks.
Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him with 31. Alonso also leads the Mets with 87 RBIs, while Lindor is 2nd on the team with 86. Alonso has been hot of late, going 9/24 (.375) with two homers in his last six games. Lindor is also on a good stretch, as he is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 3/16 in his last six games.
Overall, the Mets have been a good offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (4th) and batting a collective .249 (8th). As a team, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league. New York is also near the top of the league in isolated power and OPS.