Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/19/24
The over/under line for Thursday’s Angels vs Astros matchup is at 8 runs, and the Astros are heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -278. The Angels have a money line payout of +230, and they are 5th in the AL West with a record of 62-90. Houston leads the AL West at 82-70.
First pitch from Minute Maid Park in Houston is set for 8:10 PM ET, and the Astros will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound. The Angels are starting Jose Suarez.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline +230
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Thursday, September 19th.
HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Angels winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Angels Records & Stats
The Angels’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the White Sox in the top of the 4th, the Angels responded with three runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another run in the 8th inning, closing things out. Going into the game, the Angels were the heavy favorite at -145.
Jack Kochanowicz put together a good start for the Angels, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Gustavo Campero, who went 2/5 with a run scored.
Los Angeles is 62-90 overall, putting them 5th in the AL West, 20 games behind the Astros for the division lead. The Angels are 20-25 against other teams in the AL West. They have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a win.
At home, the Angels are just 32-46 this year, and they are only two games better on the road at 30-44. This season, the Angels are just 8-16 when favored and 54-74 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-32-3.
Los Angeles has been a .500 team against the run line overall this season, but they’ve been slightly better on the road, going 38-36. They’ve lost two straight against the run line on the road and have failed to cover in five straight games overall. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 70-58 against the run line in those games.
Los Angeles is on the road to face the Houston Astros, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Angels have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-74. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-9-2. Overall, 71.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs this season.
Left-hander José Suarez gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Astros on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 appearances and one start. Suarez’s record for the season is 1-2, and he has an ERA of 6.80. Looking at his ERA at home, it is 11.09 compared to 7.49 on the road. Opponents are batting .287 this season off Suarez, and his WHIP is 1.70. The last time he pitched was out of the bullpen on September 13th, where he went four innings, giving up five hits and no earned runs. He finished with a no decision in that outing.
Over the last nine games, Taylor Ward has gone 10/32 with two homers and seven runs scored. For the season, he is batting .248 with 24 homers and 70 RBIs. Zach Neto is also batting .248 and has 21 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team. Neto also leads the Angels with 71 RBIs.
As a team, the Angels are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. This season, they are batting just .228.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the Padres with a 4-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the slight favorite at -107 on the money line. Things really got away from the Astros in the 8th inning, as the Padres scored three runs in the inning. Houston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd.
Framber Valdez put together a good start for the Astros, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Astros couldn’s get the win, and Valdez took the loss. Houston’s offense was also held scoreless over the final seven innings.
Houston is hosting the Angels today with an overall record of 82-70, which has them leading the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Padres. So far, they are 25-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Astros are 42-32 this season and have gone 40-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 63-49 this year and 19-21 as the underdog. Houston’s win today as the favorite would give them a series record of 27-20-2.
When the Astros are favored, they are 52-60 on the run line, but when they are underdogs, they are 26-14. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they are 78-74 on the run line overall. They are 35-39 on the run line at home and 43-35 on the run line on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last four games.
The Houston Astros are 61-86 on the over/under this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. They have played 91 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 59.9% of their games. Their games have gone over the total in 13 of 28 games with an over/under line set at 8 runs. The under has hit in their last three games.
Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that September 13th start vs. the Angels, he went seven innings, giving up three earned runs, and six hits. Looking back further, Kikuchi has picked up the win in three straight outings. His record for the season is 9-9, and he has an ERA of 4.29. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and he has made 30 starts, 10 of which were quality starts. For the year, he has allowed 24 home runs.
Yordan Alvarez has been one of the top power hitters in the league this season, as his 34 home runs are the best mark on the Astros and 8th best in the MLB. However, he has struggled of late, going just 4/27 in his last seven games. Jose Altuve has been more consistent of late, hitting .299 for the season and has gone deep 19 times.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Houston comes into the game with a team batting average of .260 and an on-base percentage of .320.