Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/19/24

At 1:10 PM ET, the Twins and Guardians square off in an AL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Progressive Field in Cleveland and has the Guardians as the favorites on the money line (-114). The Twins have an overall record of 80-72, while the Guardians are 88-65.

Thursday’s forecast in Cleveland calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-60s. BSN is carrying this game on TV, and the money line odds have the Twins at -104 compared to the Guardians at -114. Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -104

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 1:10 ET on Thursday, September 19th.

HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 5-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead going into the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 10th. As for the Twins, they scored one run in the 1st inning and didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 5th.

Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and went 6 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs and striking out five. Hunter Gaddis got the win out of the bullpen, and Ronny Henriquez took the loss for the Twins.

Josh Naylor was the difference for the Guardians, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Carlos Correa did the same for the Twins, going 3/5 with two RBIs.

Twins Records & Stats

Minnesota is 80-72 overall and 7.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 29-22 against other AL Central teams. The Twins are also 3rd in the division standings.

At home, the Twins have been good, going 42-33 this season. On the road, they are just under .500 at 38-39. As the favorite, the Twins are 63-42 this year, and they are 17 games below .500 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-17-4, and they are 1-2 in this series vs. the Guardians. Heading into today’s game, the Twins have gone 4-6 over their last 10.

Minnesota is 71-81 against the run line this season, with a 39-38 mark on the road. The Twins have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game away from home. They have been the favorite in 105 games this season and have a run line record of 46-59 in those contests.

Minnesota is on the road today against Cleveland, and the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 77-69. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 24-22. So far this season, 14 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for just 9.2% of their games.

Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had back-to-back starts in which he didn’t give up a homer. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four of his last six outings.

Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ most consistent power threat this season, as he leads the team with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games, with two homers and five RBIs. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers are also near the top of the Twins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with Castro going deep 12 times and Jeffers 20.

As a team, the Twins are 10th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Twins are 7th in team batting average, hitting a combined .249.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 88-65 overall and leads the AL Central by six games over the Royals. The Guardians have gone 29-22 against other teams in the division. So far, they have taken two of three games from the Twins in this series, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Guardians are 47-28 this season and 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland is 62-33, and they are 26-32 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 26-15-6.

When the Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, which has led to a run line record of 77-76. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 41-37. As the favorite, they are 44-51 on the run line, while they are 33-25 as the underdog.

When the Cleveland Guardians play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Their overall over/under record is 67-75, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-20. This season, 29 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 19.0% of their games.

Joey Cantillo has made six starts for the Guardians this year, and he most recently faced the Twins on September 14th. In that outing, he went five innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Looking back at his last three outings, Cantillo has given up a combined two earned runs. Cantillo’s ERA for the season is 4.99, along with a record of 2-3. Opponents are batting .222 off the left-hander this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.1 strikeouts and 2.93 walks.

So far this season, the Guardians have been a slightly above-average offensive team, averaging 4.4 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the league, and their collective BABIP of .27 is the worst in the MLB. However, they have done a good job of putting the ball in play, as their 7 strikeouts per game is the 4th best mark in the league.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power hitters this season, as Ramirez’s 35 homers is 7th in the league, and Naylor is right behind him with 31 long balls. Ramirez is also on an 11-game hitting streak. Naylor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 with two homers over his last five games.