Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 9/18/24

Both the Braves and Reds will be looking to pick up a win in Wednesday’s NL matchup, as the forecast calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. This one is getting started at 6:40 PM ET from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Braves are the betting favorite on the money line (-147).

Wednesday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the Reds will be looking to pick up a home win with the money line odds of +125. Jakob Junis is starting for the Reds, and the Braves are starting Spencer Schwellenbach. Atlanta is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 3rd in the NL East, while the Reds are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 74-78.

CINCINNATI REDS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +125

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 18th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cincinnati picked up a 6-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 6th and another two in the 7th. As for the Braves, they scored three runs in the 1st and added two more in the 2nd, but didn’t score another run after that.

Brandon Williamson only went 1 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Brent Suter got the win out of the bullpen, and Alexis Díaz got the save. Grant Holmes only went four innings for the Braves, giving up five hits and two earned runs.

Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson each homered for the Reds, while Noelvi Marte went 2/4 with a double and an RBI. Ty France also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 81-70, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 10 games. Atlanta has dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Reds. Their record in the division is 24-22 this season.

At home, the Braves have gone 42-33, and they are just above .500 on the road, coming in at 39-37. As the favorite, the Braves are 68-52 this season, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-17-7.

When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-36, which is a winning percentage of 52.6%. Their average run differential per game is +1.0 on the road, which is better than their overall average of +0.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 2 of their last 3 road games.

The Atlanta Braves are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. The Braves have an over/under record of 57-89 on the season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 14-25. The over has hit in their last four games.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.73 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Schwellenbach has allowed a total of 13 home runs this season.

Marcell Ozuna has been a key power source for the Braves this season, as his 37 homers are 6th in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also 9th in the league with 98 RBIs. Ozuna has also been very good in terms of batting average and on-base percentage, coming in at .303 and .380, respectively. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 26 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .239.

Over his last nine games, Michael Harris II has hit three homers and has gone 10/40 (.250). As a team, the Braves are 6th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per contest.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 74-78 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Cardinals by 2.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division and are 13.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds have gone 21-25 against other teams in the NL Central this year.

The Reds have won five straight games at home, and they are 37-39 at home this year. On the road, they are also 37-39 this year. So far, they have been right at .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog, going 33-33 in each situation. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 19-27-3.

Despite their overall run line record of 83-69, the Reds have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 47-29. Overall, they have an average run margin of +0.2 runs per game, but that margin is +0.6 on the road and -0.3 at home. They have covered the run line in six straight games at home, but overall, they are just 36-40 on the run line at home. As the favorite, they are just 27-39 on the run line, but as the underdog, they are 56-30.

The Cincinnati Reds are playing at home today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have had an over/under record of 19-15 when the line is set at 8.5 runs this season. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this year, and their over/under record for the season is 71-74. Cincinnati has gone over the total in their last four games.

Jakob Junis gets the start for the Reds today and is coming off a short outing against the Cardinals in which he gave up one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, three walks, and one homer. Junis has made 22 appearances this year and has a record of 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .207 this year off Junis. Looking back over his last four outings, Junis has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 12 appearances on the road, going 3-0 with a 3.58 ERA compared to 10 appearances at home, where he is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA.

Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ top power hitter this season, as he is 1st on the team with 24 homers and is also 2nd on the team with 69 RBIs. De La Cruz is batting .257 for the season, and his on-base percentage of .342 is 4th best on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but both players are hitting below .235 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and their team batting average of .233 is 17th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, where they are averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over his last five games, TJ Friedl is batting .450 with two homers and five RBIs.