Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/16/24
At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Brewers will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line (-119). The Brewers are +101 and their money line odds.
Philadelphia has won two straight and is 90-59, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 86-63. Aaron Civale will start for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Ranger Suarez for the Phillies. BSWI is carrying this one on TV.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +101
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Monday, September 16th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Cristopher Sánchez was excellent in his most recent start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just one run while striking out seven. The Phillies’s offense was carried by José Ruiz, who went 2/3 with a run scored. Philadelphia’s other run came in the 8th inning, as they closed things out with a 2-1 win over the Mets.
Heading into this game, the Phillies were the slight favorite at -134 on the money line. It was a pitchers’ duel for most of the game, as the Mets’s only run came in the 8th. However, the Phillies were able to close things out, and Cristopher Sánchez picked up the win.
Philadelphia is on the road today, taking on the Brewers with an overall record of 90-59. They lead the NL East by nine games over the Mets and have gone 27-18 against other teams in the division. The Phillies have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last ten.
At home, the Phillies have gone 52-26 this year, and they are above .500 at 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 77-44 this year, and they are 13-15 when going into a game as the underdog. Philadelphia has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 27-16-7 in series this year.
On the road, the Phillies have a run line record of 37-34, and their average run margin is +0.5. As the underdog, they are 15-13 vs. the run line. In their two-game run line losing streak, they have been outscored by an average of 3.9 runs per game.
The Phillies are on the road against the Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 70-72. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-18-1. In 49.0% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.
Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.05 ERA. Suárez most recently pitched on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Suárez has finished with a decision in each outing. He has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last four starts. Opponents are batting .230 off Suárez this year.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also have the league’s 4th best on-base percentage and are 6th in slugging.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .289 with 28 homers. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 35 homers but has just three hits in his last 15 at-bats.
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-10 loss. Milwaukee was the +139 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with three runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Diamondbacks scored two runs in the bottom of the first.
Milwaukee started DL Hall, and he took the loss, going only three innings and giving up five earned runs on five hits. The Brewers also used seven different relievers, and only one of them didn’t give up a run.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central with a record of 86-63, putting them 10.0 games ahead of the Cubs. The Brewers will be hosting the Phillies today and come into the game with an overall series record of 27-17-4. They have won two straight series and took two of three from the Diamondbacks in their most recent series.
At home, the Brewers are 42-29 this season and have gone 44-34 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 50-36 and 36-27 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 30-19 in divisional matchups.
When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. They are 77-72 on the run line this season, including 43-20 as an underdog. Their run line record is 34-37 at home and 43-35 on the road.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Philadelphia Phillies today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the average combined run average for Brewers games this season. Milwaukee has played 77 over games and 63 under games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 11-11-4. The over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today and comes in with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.57. Looking back at his last outing, Civale picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He issued three walks in that outing. One thing to note is that Civale has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Overall, he has allowed 26 homers this season. Civale has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past seven games, Jackson Chourio has gone 8/29 (.276) with two homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him put together a four-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Willy Adames and Garrett Mitchell have also homered twice in the team’s last seven games, but Adames is batting just .231 in this stretch, and Mitchell is at .278.
Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are the Brewers’ top power threats, with Adames leading the team with 32 homers and Hoskins at 24. Adames also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league at 109. William Contreras is batting .280 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 88 RBIs.