New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24

David Peterson is starting for the Mets on Sunday, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez. This game is getting started at 1:35 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 89-59, while the Mets are 2nd in the division at 81-67.
Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -147 compared to the Mets at +125. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on WPIX.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -147
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, September 15th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 6-4 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Mets could only muster two more runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -118 on the money line.
Kolby Allard got the start for the Phillies, going just three innings while giving up three runs and striking out three. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen, and Carlos Estevez got the save. Luis Severino went six innings for the Mets, giving up three earned runs on three hits.
Bryce Harper and Cal Stevenson each homered for the Phillies, while J.T. Realmuto went 2/4 with two RBIs. Starling Marte had a two-hit game for the Mets, driving in three runs.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 81-67 overall and trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. This season, they have gone 23-18 in divisional games. The Mets are on the road today, and they have been good away from home, putting together a record of 41-33.
As the favorite, the Mets are 53-37 this year, and they are 28-30 as the underdog. New York has won five straight series, and they are 25-16-7 in series overall. On the year, the Mets are 7-3 over their last 10 games, and they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Phillies.
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 74-74. They have been slightly better on the road, going 41-33. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-24, compared to 40-50 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is +0.4, but they have been much better in wins, with an average run margin of +3.7.
The Mets have been involved in games with an average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 74-69. When the O/U line is set at 8.5, their record is 26-19. The Mets have gone over the total in three straight games, and they have played in 36 games this season with an O/U line set at 8.5, which is 24.3% of their games.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .241 this year. Peterson’s last outing came on September 10th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. One of those outings was a no-decision, but he didn’t give up more than two earned runs in any of those starts.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a solid 1-2 punch for the Mets this season, as Lindor is batting .270 with 31 homers, and Alonso is hitting .239 with 32 homers. Lindor’s 86 RBIs are the most on the team, and Alonso is 2nd with 81 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Jose Iglesias has gone 11/28, and he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mets are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and are batting a collective .247.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 89-59 overall and leads the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies are 26-18 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been really good at home, going 51-26 this year. On the road, they are 38-33 this season.
The Phillies have been good as the favorite this season, putting together a record of 76-44. As the underdog, they are 13-15 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 26-15-6 this year.
When betting the run line with the Phillies this season, it has been a coin flip. They are 72-76 overall, but they have been slightly better on the road, going 37-34. They have been a better run line bet at home, where they are 35-42. They have been favored in 120 games, going 57-63 on the run line. They have been the underdog in 28 games, going 15-13 on the run line.
The Philadelphia Phillies will be hosting the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 70-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-14. Overall, 29.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. He only gave up four hits and one walk in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Sánchez has a record of 10-9 this season and an ERA of 3.33. Opposing batters are hitting .255 this season off Sánchez. The left-hander has made 28 starts this year, and his ERA at home is 2.30 compared to 5.61 on the road.
With a team batting average of .258, the Phillies have the 3rd best batting average in the league and are also near the top of the league in home runs and runs scored. Philadelphia’s offense has been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Overall, they are 4th in the league at 4.9 runs per contest.
Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/35 (.400) over his last nine games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .290 with 28 homers and 82 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber is right ahead of Harper in the home run race, as his 35 homers is 7th best in the league. Schwarber also has a team-high 95 RBIs.