San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24
First pitch for Friday’s Padres vs. Giants matchup is set for 10:15 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-65, while the Giants are 4th in the division at 72-75.
San Diego is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Giants at -108. The over/under line is at 6.5 runs, and Dylan Cease will start for the Padres, while the Giants are sending Logan Webb to the mound.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 10:15 ET on Friday, September 13th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GIANTS:
- We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Mariners scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. San Diego was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Michael King had a good start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Padres’ bullpen couldn’t close things out, and San Diego took the loss. Fernando Tatis Jr. homered for the Padres but went just 1/4. The rest of the Padres’ lineup scored only one run, which came in the 2nd inning.
San Diego is 82-65 overall and 3rd in the NL West, where they trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games. So far, they are 21-22 in divisional games. The Padres have been good on the road this year, going 42-30 compared to 40-35 at home.
The Padres have an overall series record of 28-14-6 this season, and they are 52-41 as the favorite. As the road favorite, the Padres have gone 19-14 this year. They have dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 45-27. The Padres have an average run margin of +1.1 per game away from Petco Park. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 37-17, compared to 37-56 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.6, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
San Diego’s games have had an average of 9.0 runs per game this season, but today’s over/under line is set at just 6.5 runs. The Padres have played 144 games with over/under lines set higher than 6.5 runs this season, and their over/under record is 79-65.
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants. In that September 7th start, Cease took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Cease has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-11 with a 3.71 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.09 and opponents are batting .200 off him this season. Cease has one complete game shutout this year and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, Cease is averaging 10.85 strikeouts. So far, he has allowed 18 homers and is averaging 3.18 walks per nine innings.
San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .264. They are also 7th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are also the league’s top home run hitting club, and have the best slugging percentage in the league.
Over the team’s last nine games, Luis Arraez has been on fire, going 17/40 with seven runs scored. For the season, he is batting .317 and is 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs. Manny Machado leads the team with 26 homers and 94 RBIs, while also batting .274. Machado has three homers over his last nine games, but is just 10/36 in that stretch.
Giants Records & Stats
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 3-0 loss. San Francisco was the +114 underdog at home going into the game. Things started off well for the Giants, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Brewers scored three runs in the 8th to pick up the win. San Francisco’s bullpen took the loss, and Camilo Doval was charged with the blown save.
Hayden Birdsong got the start for the Giants and didn’t give up a run. He only lasted five innings, and San Francisco’s offense was shut out. Jerar Encarnacion had two hits and scored the team’s only run. The Giants also wasted a big game from Alex Dickerson, who went 3/4 with a double.
San Francisco is 72-75 overall, putting them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional play. The Giants will host the Padres today, and they trail San Diego by 5.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division.
The Giants lost two of three games in their series vs. the Brewers. Overall, they are 4-6 across their last 10. At home, the Giants are 41-34 this year compared to 31-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 27-43 this year, and they are 8-13 as the home underdog. San Francisco’s overall series record is 21-21-4, and they have dropped three straight series at home when the series is at home.
The Giants have been a solid run line team this season, going 73-74 overall. They have been better on the road, going 40-32 against the run line, compared to 33-42 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 41-29 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road.
San Francisco Giants games have featured an average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-67. The over/under line for today’s game against the San Diego Padres is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs. In games with a line set at 6.5 runs, the over/under record is 1-1. Overall, 98.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 6.5 runs.
Logan Webb is coming off a solid outing vs. the Padres, as he got the win in the September 7th start. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs on 10 hits. Looking back further, Webb has a shutout and a complete game to his name this year. Overall, he has made 30 starts, and opponents are batting .250 off the right-hander this year. Webb’s ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a record of 12-9. For the year, he has a WHIP of 1.23 and is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This is the same number of runs they are averaging at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 15th in the league, and are also 16th in home runs. Over the past seven games, Grant McCray has struggled, going 5/27, but he does have two homers in this stretch.
Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power hitters this season, with Chapman leading the team with 24 homers and Ramos right behind him at 20. Chapman also leads the team with 73 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .250. Over his last eight games, Chapman is 8/26 with two homers. Jerar Encarnacion has also gone deep in two straight games and is 5/13 in his last three.