Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24

At 7:05 PM ET, the Red Sox and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line at -148. The Red Sox have a money line odds of +125, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

New York comes into the game with a record of 85-62, while the Red Sox are 74-73. Clarke Schmidt will start for the Yankees, while the Red Sox are sending Tanner Houck to the mound. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -148

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Friday, September 13th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Yankees picked up a 2-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. New York had a 1-0 lead going into the 5th inning, and the Red Sox scored their only run in the 5th. As for the Yankees, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 6th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out nine. He did not factor into the decision, as Clay Holmes got the win out of the bullpen. Cooper Criswell only went 5 1/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up one run on four hits.

Gleyber Torres was the only Yankees hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/5 with a home run. Danny Jansen hit the game’s other home run for the Red Sox, going 1/2.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 74-73 overall and trails the Yankees by 11 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 20-20 against other AL East teams. The Red Sox will be on the road today, and they are 35-40 at home and 39-33 on the road.

As the underdog, Boston has lost six straight, and they are 24-28 as the road underdog this year. The Red Sox have an overall series record of 22-18-6 and have won two straight series.

The Red Sox have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 41-31 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game on the road, which is slightly better than their overall average run margin of 0.0 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 41-32 against the run line in those games.

When the Boston Red Sox are on the road, the over/under line for their games is typically set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-66. Overall, the over/under line for their games this season has been set at an average of 9 runs. Their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs in 40.8% of their games this season, and their games have gone over that line 25 times and under it 15 times. Their games have gone under the total in their last three games.

Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-10. Houck’s ERA is 3.24, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Looking at his overall numbers, he has turned in 19 quality starts, one complete game shutout, and is averaging 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Houck took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed an earned run in two straight outings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 7th ranked home run hitting team, and are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. Boston’s offense has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season.

Over the team’s last nine games, Tyler O’Neill has been on fire, going 10/32 with five homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .259 with a team-high 30 home runs. Rafael Devers is right behind him with 28 homers and has driven in a team-high 81 runs. Devers is also batting .277 for the season.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 85-62 overall, good for the AL East lead. They hold a two-game lead over the Orioles and have gone just 23-23 in divisional games this year. New York has won two straight games, and they are 40-32 at home compared to 45-30 on the road.

So far, the Yankees have been the favorite in most of their games, going 67-55 in those matchups. As the underdog, they are 18-7 this year. New York’s overall series record is 27-15-4, and they have won two straight series.

When the Yankees are favored, they are just 55-67 on the run line, but as an underdog, they are 21-4. Their overall run line record is 76-71, and they have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1 runs per game, while it is -3.6 runs per game in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is lower than the Yankees’ average combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. The over/under record for New York this season is 79-64, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 32 of 52 games. The under has hit in three straight games for the Yankees.

Through 12 starts, Clarke Schmidt has a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.34. He has made two quality starts this season and is coming off a start in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Cubs on September 7th, Schmidt went 4 2/3 innings, giving up zero earned runs, two hits, and one walk. He finished with two strikeouts in the outing. Looking back at his last three starts, Schmidt has given up two earned runs in each outing. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 3.98 compared to 1.46 on the road.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees’ offense is averaging 5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. Collectively, the team is batting .250, which is 8th in the MLB.

Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer this season, as his 126 RBIs are the best in the league. He has also gone deep 51 times, which is also the best in the MLB. Judge is batting .319 for the season. Juan Soto has also been a big power threat for the Yankees, as his 39 homers is the 4th best mark in the league. However, Soto has struggled of late, hitting just .143 over his last six games.