Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24

Julian Aguiar will start for the Reds on Sunday, and he will be facing off against Luis Severino for the Mets. The Reds are slight money line underdogs (+169), while the Mets are the heavy favorite at -202. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 1:40 PM ET. BSOH is carrying this one on TV.

Both the Reds and Mets are 9-9 in their last 10 games, and the Mets are currently on a nine-game winning streak. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Sunday’s game in New York is 64 degrees and clear skies.

CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +169

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, September 8th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS METS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 4-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Reds, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -154 on the money line.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sam Moll took the loss for the Reds out of the bullpen.

Harrison Bader was the only player in the game to homer, as he went 1/3 with three RBIs and two runs scored. J.D. Martinez also had a two RBI game at the plate for New York.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 68-75 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL Central, 14.5 games behind the Brewers. The Reds have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mets 0-2. So far, they have gone 20-23 in divisional games.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year compared to a 32-36 mark on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 20-30 this year and 35-42 as the underdog overall. Cincinnati’s series record is 17-25-3 heading into today’s game.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-67 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 41-27. Their average run margin on the road is +0.5 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games, and they have covered the run line in just two of their last seven games overall.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than the Reds’ combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Reds have gone over the total in 67 of their 136 games this season and have an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Reds have gone over the total in 7 of 17 games. Overall, 70.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Julian Aguiar and the Reds are on the road to take on the Mets, and Aguiar has been solid in his first two starts of the season. He picked up a win in his first outing, going 6 innings and allowing 2 runs on 3 hits. He followed that up with a no-decision in his last start, going 4 innings and giving up 6 hits and 6 runs.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, but he is batting just .261 this season and has gone 4/19 in his last five games. De La Cruz does have 65 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Spencer Steer has also been a solid run producer for the Reds, as his 86 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. However, he is batting just .233 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .233, which is 19th in the league. Over his last five games, Ty France is batting .526 and has gone deep once during this stretch.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets have won nine straight games, and they will look to make it 10 in a row today as they take on the Reds. New York is 78-64 overall and trails the Phillies by seven games in the NL East. The Mets’ record includes a mark of 22-17 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets are 40-33 this season, and they have gone 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 51-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won six straight at home, and they are 33-22 as the home favorite this year. The Mets’ overall series record is 24-16-8, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight on the road.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 72-70 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 39-30. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game.

The New York Mets are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Mets have played 78 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and they have gone over the total in 14 of those games.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Red Sox, he allowed just six hits and issued two walks. Severino has a record of 10-6 this season and an ERA of 3.84. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.25 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. Opponents are batting .234 off Severino this year. In terms of home/road splits, he is 6-2 at home with a 3.74 ERA compared to 4-4 with a 4.95 ERA on the road.

So far this season, the Mets are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have been very good at scoring runs, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. This has been a trend both at home and on the road, as they are 8th in road games (4.9 runs per game) and 12th in home games (4.6 runs per game). As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in isolated power.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is also the team’s top run producer, with 84 RBIs. Over his last five games, Mark Vientos has been swinging a hot bat, going 8/20 with three homers.