Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24

First pitch for Sunday’s Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is set for 1:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Phillies are 85-57 and they are the favorites on the money line today at -133, while the Marlins are 53-89 overall and their money line odds are sitting at +111. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Seth Johnson for the Phillies. Philadelphia is currently in 1st place in the NL East, while the Marlins are 5th in the division.

The over/under line for Sunday’s game is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the matchup can be seen on NSPPH. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Seth Johnson for the the Phillies.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +111

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, September 8th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Miami cruised to a 9-5 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 7th inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +217 on the money line.

Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. John McMillon got the win out of the bullpen. Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Miami’s offense was led by a big game from Otto Lopez, who went 3/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Connor Norby also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. As for the Phillies, Bryson Stott went 3/4 with an RBI.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is 85-57 overall and leads the NL East by seven games over the Mets. The Phillies are 25-16 in divisional games and have won four straight series. This year, they are 72-42 as the favorite and 38-32 on the road.

At home, the Phillies have gone 47-25 this season. They have been good on the road, putting together a record of 38-32. Philadelphia will be looking for the win today on the road, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of +4.0. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7. Their overall run line record is 70-72, and they’re 37-33 on the run line on the road. They’re 55-59 on the run line as the favorite and 15-13 as the underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have played 42 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 14-14. Overall, the Phillies have an over/under record of 66-69 this season.

The Phillies will be sending Seth Johnson to the mound today against the Marlins. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is good for 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 3rd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .260. The Phillies also have a good team on-base percentage and are near the top of the league in slugging and OPS.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 11/23 in his last five games with five homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .249 with 33 home runs. Schwarber’s 93 RBIs are the best mark in the league right now. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 13 and 26 homers, respectively.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 53-89, putting them 32 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, they are 15 games behind the Nationals for the 4th spot in the division. The Marlins are just 15-29 against other NL East teams this year.

At home, the Marlins are 27-47 compared to a 26-42 mark on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. As for their record as the underdog, the Marlins are 49-75 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 11-25-8, and they are losing the series vs. the Phillies 1-2.

The Marlins have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 66-76 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 35-33. They have been a poor run line bet as the favorite, going just 2-16, but have been a solid play as the underdog, going 64-60. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season. The over/under record for their games this season is 77-61, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over 26 times and under 23 times. Overall, 26 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 18.3% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at two games.

Miami is starting right-hander Edward Cabrera today vs. the Phillies. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.33 ERA. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.47, and opponents are batting .230 off him this year. In his 16 starts, he has turned in three quality starts. Cabrera’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Giants. In that outing, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and are 23rd in home runs. One area they have really struggled in is their team on-base percentage, as they are just 28th in the league in that category.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power hitters this season, with 25 and 17 home runs, respectively. Burger’s 60 RBIs are the best on the team, and Sánchez is right behind him with 59. Connor Norby has two homers in his last seven games and is hitting .276 over that stretch.