San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24

First pitch for Saturday’s Giants vs. Padres matchup is set for 8:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. NBCS will be televising this game, and the Padres are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -152. The Giants are +129 on the money line, and they are 4th in the NL West with a record of 69-73.

The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and the Padres will be starting Dylan Cease, while the Giants have Logan Webb on the mound. Cease is 81-62, which is good for 2nd in the NL West.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +129

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 8:40 ET on Saturday, September 7th.

HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS PADRES:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to an easy 5-1 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -213 on the money line.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a costly home run. On the other side, Mason Black got the start for the Giants and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres’ offense, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. As for the Giants, Michael Conforto hit a home run, while Matt Chapman went 2/4.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco is 69-73 overall this season, and they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 22-22 in divisional games this year. The Giants lost the series opener vs. the Padres and are just 3-7 over their last ten games.

At home, the Giants have gone 40-32 this year, but they have been below .500 on the road, coming in at 29-41. This season, the Giants are just 17-30 as the road underdog. As the favorite, San Francisco has gone 44-32. The Giants’ overall series record is 21-20-3, and they have dropped four straight series.

San Francisco has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 69-73 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 38-32 against the run line. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 38-28 against the run line, compared to just 31-45 as the favorite.

The San Francisco Giants are on the road against the San Diego Padres today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Giants have an over/under record of 71-65 on the season, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 5-7-2. The over has hit in 88.0% of their games this season when the line has been set at 7 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Giants starter Logan Webb will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four home runs. Webb took the loss in the game. Before that outing, he had turned in three straight solid performances, going 8 innings vs. the White Sox, 7 2/3 innings vs. the Braves, and 5 innings vs. the Brewers. Webb has a record of 11-9 this season and an ERA of 3.43. Opponents are batting .245 vs. Webb this season.

So far this season, the Giants offense has been pretty average, as they are 17th in the league in runs per game at 4.2. They have also been a pretty average home run hitting team and are batting a combined .239, which is 15th in the league. One area where the Giants have been strong is in avoiding strikeouts, as they are 21st in the league in strikeouts.

Heading into today’s game, Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos are the Giants top home run hitters, with 22 and 20 home runs, respectively. Chapman is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 69. Over his last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone 4/17 with two homers, while Tyler Fitzgerald has gone 7/19 in his last five games.

Padres Records & Stats

San Diego is 81-62 overall and 2nd in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres have gone 21-20 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 40-33, and they are 41-29 on the road.

The Padres have been the favorite in most of their games, and they have a record of 52-38 in those matchups. As the underdog, San Diego is 29-24 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 28-14-4 and have won two straight series.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet this season, going 73-70 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 44-26 vs. the run line. They are just 29-44 at home. The Padres have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game this season.

San Diego has played to the over in 91.6% of their games this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Giants is set at 7 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-65 overall. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they have a 9-2-1 record when the line is set at 7 runs.

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Rays, he gave up three earned runs on four hits in five innings of work. Cease issued three walks in the outing. Cease has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.62 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .198 off Cease this season. He has one complete game shutout this year and 14 quality starts. Cease’s ERA at home is 3.25, and he has a record of 5-6 at home.

So far this season, the Padres have been the league’s best hitting team, batting a collective .264. They are also near the top of the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. San Diego’s offense has been led by Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar, who are tied for 2nd on the team with 22 homers apiece. Machado’s 89 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.

Luis Arraez has been on a tear of late, going 16/38 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .310 and has gone deep four times. Arraez’s six-game hitting streak is the best on the team. Machado is also swinging a hot bat, batting .302 with four homers in his last 10 games.