Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24

The forecast for Saturday’s matchup between the Blue Jays and Braves calls for temperatures in the mid to upper 80s and partly cloudy skies. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 PM ET. BSSE is carrying this one on TV.

Jose Berrios will go for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Spencer Schwellenbach. Toronto is 67-75 and they are 5th in the AL East, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 77-64. Atlanta is the heavy favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -178, while the Blue Jays are at +148. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -178

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Saturday, September 7th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Blue Jays series came right down to the end, as the Blue Jays rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -171 on the money line.

Both offenses finished with seven hits in the game, but the Blue Jays had more opportunities with 11 strikeouts compared to just one for the Braves. As for the Braves, they were able to put together a three-run 2nd inning and didn’t score another run after that.

Max Fried started for the Braves and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Kevin Gausman got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 67-75 overall and 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 15 games for the division lead. The Blue Jays have dropped four straight games overall and are 3-7 over their last 10. In the AL East, they are 20-26 this season.

So far, the Blue Jays have been a bit better at home, going 34-35 compared to 33-40 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto is 26-47 this year, and they have dropped three straight as the underdog overall. The Blue Jays are 41-28 when favored this year.

The Blue Jays have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 71-71 overall. They are 46-27 on the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of -0.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last two games as the underdog, and have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game overall.

The Blue Jays have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 74-65, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 23-19 on the over. They have had 28 games with lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 19.7% of their games. Their under streak is at 2 games.

José Berríos has been pitching well lately, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Twins on August 31st and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. In his 28 starts, Berríos has a record of 14-9, an ERA of 3.59, and a WHIP of 1.15. This year, he has one complete game and 18 quality starts. Berríos’ ERA on the road is 5.1 compared to 3.07 at home. Overall, he is 5-7 on the road.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the MLB. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .327 for the season with a league-leading 93 RBIs and 28 home runs, which is also the best mark in the league. He has also gone 9/22 in his last five games.

Currently, Justin Turner, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Alejandro Kirk are all on four-game hitting streaks. Over his last four games, Addison Barger has gone 4/15 with two home runs, and Daulton Varsho also has two homers in his last five games, but he is just 4/20 in that stretch.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 77-64, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 23-21 in divisional matchups. The Braves took the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays and have an overall series record of 25-16-5 this year.

At home, the Braves are 39-29 this season compared to a 38-35 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 65-48 and 12-16 as the underdog. Over their last ten games, the Braves are 6-4.

When betting on the Braves’ run line this season, it’s been a better idea to take them on the road than at home. They have a 39-34 record against the run line on the road, compared to 29-39 at home. Their overall run line record is 68-73, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is a bit higher than the average line for Atlanta Braves games this season. The Braves have played 44 games with higher lines than this one, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 13-23. Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 51-85. The under has hit in each of their last six games.

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Phillies on September 1st, where he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and one walk. Against the Twins on August 27th, Schwellenbach went 4 2/3 innings, not giving up a run and finishing with eight strikeouts. He has a record of 5-6 this season, along with an ERA of 3.69 and WHIP of 1.07. Opponents are batting .226 off the right-hander this season.

Marcell Ozuna has been red hot at the plate of late, going 13/39 in his last 10 games, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Ozuna’s 98 RBIs are 5th best in the league, and he also leads the Braves with 37 homers. For the season, he is batting .309. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .230 for the season.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Overall, the Braves are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 7th best isolated power figure in the league.