Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24

First pitch for Saturday’s Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The Phillies are 85-56 and they are currently on a six-game winning streak. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, while the Marlins are starting Darren McCaughan.

Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -240 compared to the Marlins at +198. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on NSPPH.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +198

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, September 7th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 16-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their sixteen runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -281 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Austin Kitchen only went two innings for the Marlins, giving up six runs on nine hits.

At the plate, the Phillies were led by Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber, who each homered and scored three times. Turner, Johan Rojas, Bryce Harper, Kody Clemens, and J.T. Realmuto each had two RBIs for Philadelphia’s offense.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia has won six straight games, and they lead the NL East with an overall record of 85-56. The Phillies are currently 8.0 games ahead of the Mets for the division lead. Philadelphia has gone 25-15 against other teams in the NL East.

As the road team today, the Phillies are 38-31 this season. They have been really good at home, going 47-25. Philadelphia has won five straight games as the favorite and they are 72-41 when favored this year. Their overall series record is 24-16-6, and they have won four straight series overall.

When the Phillies are on the road, they are a solid bet against the run line with a 37-32 record. Their average run margin is +0.7 on the road, and they are currently on a six-game run line win streak. Against the run line, they are 15-13 as an underdog and 55-58 as a favorite.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Miami Marlins, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 65-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-14. Overall, 29.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Nola has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.29. So far, he has pitched 172 1/3 innings and has one complete game shutout to his name. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15, and he has turned in 18 quality starts. In his last outing, Nola finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he hadn’t allowed more than two earned runs in four straight outings.

Heading into today’s game, Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear for the Phillies, going 11/24 in his last five games with five homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, Schwarber’s 33 homers are 9th in the league and the most on the Phillies’ roster. He is also 1st on the team with 92 RBIs. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also having strong seasons, with Harper batting .284 with 26 homers and Bohm hitting .290 with 13 homers.

As a team, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Philadelphia has been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as their .31 BABIP is 2nd in the league.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami will be hosting the Phillies today, and they are looking to avoid dropping the series, as they trail the Phillies 2-0 in the series. Overall, the Marlins are 52-89, putting them 5th in the NL East. Currently, they are 33.0 games behind the Phillies in the division and trail the Nationals by 10.5 games for 4th place in the division.

The Marlins have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 14-29 in divisional games. At home, the Marlins are 26-47 this year, and they are 26-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 48-75 this year compared to 4-14 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 11-25-8.

When betting the run line on the Marlins this season, it’s been best to take them as the underdog. Miami is 63-60 against the run line as the underdog, compared to just 2-16 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while in losing games it’s -3.9.

The Miami Marlins are home against the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 9.0, and their over/under record is 76-61. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-23. Overall, 26 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 18.4% of their games this season.

Darren McCaughan gets the start for the Marlins today and has made one start and six appearances this season. He finished with a no-decision in his most recent outing, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. McCaughan’s ERA for the season is 8.24, along with a WHIP of 1.98. Opposing batters are hitting .333 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he has 4.58 walks and 4.58 strikeouts. Looking back, McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been a little better at home, putting up 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 15th in the league, and are near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and Sánchez right behind him with 17. Burger is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 60. Derek Hill has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/18 with three homers over his last six games.