Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24

Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Saturday, as they look to extend their eight-game winning streak. They are 77-64 this season and Quintana will be facing off against a Reds team that is 68-74 and 4th in the NL Central. Jakob Junis is starting for the Reds.

SNY will be televising this matchup, which gets started at 4:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The Mets are the heavy favorites, with money line odds of -157, while the Reds are sitting at +133. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

CINCINNATI REDS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +133

This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, September 7th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS METS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Reds series. New York went into the matchup as -172 favorites and squeaked out a 6-4 win. Heading into the game, the Mets had lost two in a row.

Cincinnati had a two-run 4th inning to tie the game at 2-2, but the Mets responded with two runs in the 6th and added two insurance runs in the 10th. As for the Reds, they scored their final two runs in the 7th. Both teams had just three hits.

Sean Manaea got the win for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued two walks. Justin Wilson took the loss. Fernando Cruz only went one inning for the Reds, giving up two earned runs on two hits.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 68-74 overall, and they trail the Brewers by 13.5 games in the NL Central. The Reds are 4th in the division and are 20-23 in games against other NL Central teams. The Reds lost the series opener vs. the Mets and have an overall series record of 17-25-3 this year.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 this year and 32-35 on the road. As the road underdog, the Reds are 20-29 this year compared to 33-33 as the favorite. Cincinnati has dropped two straight on the road heading into today’s game.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-66 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 41-26. Their average run differential on the road is +0.6 runs per game. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 49-27. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 67-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Reds have a record of 16-12. Overall, 50.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Cincinnati is sending right-hander Jakob Junis to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 20 appearances this year and has a record of 4-0 with a 3.13 ERA. Junis has made two starts and has a WHIP of .98. In his last outing, he came out of the bullpen and went 3 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on two hits. Junis didn’t give up a homer in that outing. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances. Per nine innings, Junis is averaging 6.65 strikeouts and just 1.17 walks.

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high 23 home runs and is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. He is also batting .263 for the season and has gone 5/20 in his last five games. Jeimer Candelario is 2nd on the team in homers and 4th in RBIs, but he has a batting average of just .225. The Reds will also be looking for more from Spencer Steer, who is hitting just .235 this season but does have 19 homers.

Over their last five games, Ty France has gone 9/18 with a homer and three RBIs, and Elly De La Cruz has gone 5/20 with a homer and five runs scored. For the season, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 12th in the league in home runs.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are currently riding an eight-game winning streak, and they are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York’s overall record is 77-64, and they are 22-17 in divisional games. The Mets have taken the first game of their series vs. the Reds, and their overall series record is 24-16-8.

At home, the Mets are 39-33 this season and 38-31 on the road. New York has won five straight home games, and they are 32-22 as the home favorite this year. As for their record as the favorite, the Mets are 50-35 and 27-29 as the underdog.

When the Mets are the favorites, they are just 38-47 on the run line. But as underdogs, they are 33-23. The average run margin in their wins is 3.6, while in their losses, it is -3.5. They have covered the run line in four straight home games and are 32-40 on the run line at home this season.

In games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone over the total in 25 of 42 games (59.5%). Overall, the Mets have gone over the total in 71 of 137 games (51.8%). The Mets have gone over the total in three straight games. The Mets and Reds have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season.

Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the White Sox on August 31st, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 runs (1 earned), and he had 6 strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Quintana has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 7-9 with a 4.27 ERA. For the season, he has allowed 22 home runs and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Lindor is 2nd on the team with 30 homers, and Alonso is just ahead of him with 31. Lindor comes into the game on a 16-game hitting streak and has gone 12/37 in his last nine games, including three homers. Alonso has also gone deep three times in his last nine games, but he is just 6/35 during that stretch.

Overall, the Mets are 5th in home runs this season and are 7th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Mets are batting .249, which is 9th in the league, and are 5th in on-base percentage and 8th in slugging.