Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

Friday’s interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Astros is set to get started at 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -159, while the Diamondbacks are at +133 on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Arizona will be starting Brandon Pfaadt, and they are currently 3rd in the NL West with a record of 79-62. The Astros are 1st in the AL West at 75-65, but they are currently on a three-game losing streak. Framber Valdez will be on the mound for the Astros.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -159

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored a run in the bottom of the 9th. Arizona was the +133 underdog on the road going into this game.

Merrill Kelly put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Diamondbacks couldnjson’s get the win, and Kelly took the loss. Arizona’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t have another hit until the 5th.

Arizona is 79-62 overall, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West and trail the Padres by a half-game for 2nd place in the division. So far, they have gone 25-18 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 39-31 and have gone 40-31 on the road. Arizona has won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 25-16-4 this year. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks are 34-36 this year, and they are 27-22 as the road underdog. Arizona won the final two games of their series vs. the Giants.

Arizona has been a good bet on the run line this season, going 74-67 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 42-29 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-26 against the run line, compared to 30-41 as the favorite. Their average run differential this season is +0.7 runs per game.

Arizona is on the road against the Houston Astros, and the over/under line for this game is set at 7.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged a combined 10.2 runs per game. Overall, the over has hit in 80 of their 134 games this season, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has gone 11-5 in those games. The average over/under line for Arizona games this season has been set at 9 runs.

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 9-7 with a 4.32 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on 10 hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Pfaadt has allowed a total of 19 home runs this season.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s 2nd best team batting average. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s best team in terms of on-base percentage and are 4th in walks.

Over the past six games, Eugenio Suarez and Corbin Carroll have both hit .333, with Suarez hitting three homers and Carroll one. Suarez is the team’s top home run hitter for the season, while Ketel Marte has gone deep 30 times, which is the best mark in the league. Marte is also hitting .298 for the season.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 1-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -155 on the money line. It was a good start for the Astros, as Hunter Brown went six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six. However, the Astros couldn’t get the win, and Bryan Abreu took the loss out of the bullpen.

Offensively, the Astros only had four hits but didn’t score a run. Their best chance to score came in the 3rd inning when they had the bases loaded with one out. However, the Reds were able to get out of the jam without giving up a run.

The Astros will be hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 75-65, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. Houston heads into today’s game having dropped three straight, with all three losses coming in the series vs. the Reds. So far, they are 21-18 in divisional games and have an overall series record of 24-19-2.

At home, the Astros are 39-29 this season and have won four straight at home. On the road, Houston is an even 36-36 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 57-46 this year and 18-19 as the underdog. Their overall record this year is 24-19-2.

Despite their overall run line record of 71-69, the Astros have been a more profitable bet on the run line at home this season, going 32-36. Houston’s average run margin for the season is +0.6, but that number jumps to +1.0 at home. The Astros have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-12 against the run line in those games.

With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Houston Astros have seen their games go over that total just 24 times in 2019, posting an 8-16 O/U record when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the Astros is 55-80 overall. The average over/under line for Houston games this year is 9 runs, and 79.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t allow a run. Against the Royals on August 30th, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings. Valdez didn’t give up a homer in that outing, but in the two starts before that, he had given up a homer in each. Valdez’s record for the season is 13-6, and his ERA is 3.11. One of his 24 starts was a complete game, and he has 14 quality starts this year. So far, opponents are batting .221 off Valdez.

Yordan Alvarez has been a key part of the Astros offense this season, leading the team with a batting average of .309 and 30 home runs. Yainer Diaz has also been a major power threat, as he is 5th in the league with 78 RBIs and has 16 homers. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .259.

Over his last five games, Jeremy Pena has gone 5/18, and he has driven in four runs in that stretch. Yordan Alvarez has two homers in his last five games but is just 4/18 in that stretch. Chas McCormick and Kyle Tucker are both on decent hitting streaks for the Astros.