Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 9/5/24

The forecast looks good for Thursday’s Diamondbacks vs. Giants matchup, as the temperature will be in the low 60s with a clear sky in San Francisco. The game will get started at 3:45 PM ET from Oracle Park. Arizona is 79-61, and they are 3rd in the NL West, while the Giants are 4th in the division at 68-72.

Blake Snell will go for the Giants, and he is facing off against a Diamondbacks club that has won two straight. Arizona will be starting Merrill Kelly. The Giants are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -153, while the Diamondbacks are at +129. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline -153

This game will be played at Oracle Park at 3:45 ET on Thursday, September 5th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS GIANTS:

• We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Giants by a score of 6-4. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Giants and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -134 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks and Hayden Birdsong for the Giants. Gallen only went six innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Birdsong was tagged for two homers and two earned runs in just three innings of work.

San Francisco had a chance to come back in the 9th inning, scoring two runs and leaving the tying run on base. Joakim Soria closed things out for the Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 79-61 overall and is 5th in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have gone 25-17 in divisional games this year. They have won two straight games and are winning the series vs. the Giants 2-0.

On the road, the Diamondbacks are 40-30 this year, and they are 39-31 at home. Arizona has won eight straight games as the road underdog, and they are 27-21 in those situations this year. The Diamondbacks are 45-26 when favored this year but just below .500 at 34-35 as the underdog overall.

Arizona is 41-29 vs. the run line on the road this season, covering by an average of 0.8 runs per game. The D-backs are 43-26 vs. the run line as the underdog, covering by an average of 0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but are just 30-41 vs. the run line in those games this season, failing to cover by an average of 0.6 runs per game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road to face the San Francisco Giants, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have played to the over in 80 of their 133 games this season, with an average combined run average of 10.2 runs per game. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 11 of their 16 games. Arizona is currently on a six-game over streak.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.30. Kelly’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. Looking at his overall numbers, Kelly has turned in three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he allowed four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Kelly has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. Not only do the Diamondbacks have the best on-base percentage in the league, but they also have the 2nd best team batting average in the league, at .263. Overall, they are 3rd in slugging and 2nd in OPS.

Over the team’s last six games, Eugenio Suarez and Corbin Carroll have been swinging the bat well. Carroll has gone 10/25 in this stretch, while Suarez is 8/22 with four homers. Suarez is 2nd on the team with 24 homers and is also 11th in the league in RBIs. For the season, Ketel Marte is leading the team in batting average (.298) and is 2nd in RBIs (81).

Giants Records & Stats

With a record of 68-72, the Giants are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 16 games. This season, they have gone 21-21 in divisional matchups. The Giants will take on the Diamondbacks today having dropped four straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last 10 games.

At home, the Giants are 39-32 this season, but they have really struggled on the road, going 29-40. As the favorite, the Giants are 43-32 this season, and they are 25-40 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped the first two games of this series, and their overall series record is 21-19-3.

When playing at home, the Giants have a run line record of 31-40, which includes a run line losing streak of 1. Overall, they have a run line record of 69-71, with an average run margin of -0.2 runs per game. As the underdog, the Giants are 38-27 against the run line, while they are 31-44 as the favorite.

San Francisco has been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 71-63, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 29 of 52 games. The over has also hit in three straight games.

Blake Snell gets the start for the Giants today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Marlins in which he didn’t allow an earned run. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up just one hit and issuing four walks. Snell finished with eight strikeouts in the outing. Looking back at his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in each one. Snell has a record of 2-3 this season, along with an ERA of 3.56 and WHIP of 1.08. Opponents are batting .170 off Snell this season. He has one complete game shutout and eight quality starts this year.

San Francisco comes into today’s game averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is also where they rank in terms of home runs, as they have a total of 146 homers. The Giants’ team batting average of .240 is 14th in the league, and they are 20th in team OPS at .702.

Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, as Chapman’s 22 homers leads the team, and Ramos is right behind him with 20. Chapman also leads the team with 69 RBIs. Over his last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone 4/15 with two home runs, and Tyler Fitzgerald is 6/20 during this stretch.