Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/5/24

Thursday’s matchup between the Phillies and Marlins is set to get started at 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The Phillies are 83-56 and they have won four straight, putting them first in the NL East. The Marlins are 52-87 and they are 5th in the NL East.

MLBN will be televising this matchup, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -229 compared to the Marlins at +188. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the pitching matchup features Ranger Suarez for the Phillies and Adam Oller for the Marlins.

MIAMI MARLINS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +188

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Thursday, September 5th.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Phillies Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Phillies closed out the series with a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -127 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Phillies, as they scored a run and added another two in the 2nd.

Cristopher Sánchez put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins having won four straight games, and they lead the NL East with a record of 83-56. The Phillies hold a seven-game lead over the Braves in the division. This season, the Phillies are 23-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Phillies have gone 47-25 this season, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in at 36-31. Philadelphia has been good as the favorite this season, putting up a mark of 70-41. Their series record is 24-16-6, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

When the Phillies are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 35-32 against the run line. They are 4-0 against the run line in their last four road games and have a run line record of 15-13 as the underdog.

The Phillies have played 132 games this season, and 68 of them have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. Their over/under record on the season is 64-68, and their combined run average is 8.9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have a record of 17-16-1. Overall, 48.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 26.6% have had lines set below 8 runs.

Ranger Suárez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had been pitching well, as he had won two straight starts and had given up a combined two earned runs in 10 innings of work in those outings. Suárez has a record of 11-6 this season and an ERA of 3.02. For the year, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 3.05 compared to 3.57 at home.

So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average and have the league’s 6th best slugging percentage. As a team, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best on-base percentage.

Both Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm have been driving in a lot of runs for the Phillies, with each having 89 RBIs so far. Schwarber’s 32 homers are 9th best in the league, and Bohm is batting .290 for the season. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, with a team-leading 26 homers and a batting average of .282. Harper has been hot of late, going 13/34 in his last 10 games.

Marlins Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Marlins closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a good start for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 2nd.

Valente Bellozo put together a good start for the Marlins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win. The Marlins’s offense was carried by Xavier Edwards, who went 2/5 with a run scored and drove in the team’s other three runs with a triple.

Miami is 31 games out of the NL East lead, putting them in 5th place in the division. Overall, they are 52-87 and went 14-27 in divisional games. The Marlins are 26-45 at home compared to 26-42 on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 48-73 this season and 4-14 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 11-25-8 this year.

The Marlins have an overall record of 6-4 across their last ten games, and they split their two-game series with the Nationals. So far, they have been the underdog, and they have won three straight games in this situation.

The Marlins have been a solid run line bet this season, going 65-74 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 35-33. They are 30-41 against the run line at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 63-58 against the run line. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 2-16 against the run line.

The Miami Marlins have played in 73 games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs or higher, which accounts for 52.5% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-60. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-10-2. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Adam Oller will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and he has a win and a no-decision so far. He picked up the win against the Cubs, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just 1 earned run. In his last start, he went 6 innings against the Giants, striking out 8 and not allowing a run.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .296 is just 20th in the MLB.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are 1st on the team and 15th in the league. He comes into the game with a team-high 60 RBIs and is batting .247. Jesús Sánchez is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run leaderboard, as he has 17 homers this season and is batting .245. Sánchez is also on a four-game hitting streak.