Detroit Tigers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 9/4/24
Yu Darvish and the Padres will look to keep their two-game winning streak alive as they host the Tigers at PETCO Park in San Diego. The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Detroit is 70-69 overall and they are 4th in the AL Central, while the Padres are 79-61 and 2nd in the NL West.
San Diego is heavily favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -192 compared to the Tigers at +161. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and this interleague matchup can be seen on BSDET.
DETROIT TIGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Wednesday, September 4th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a three-run 8th inning for the Padres’ offense, they picked up a 3-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -199 on the money line.
The pitching matchup for this game featured Joe Musgrove going for the Padres, and he went six innings while striking out eight and didn’t give up a run. Musgrove picked up a win in the game, while Robert Suarez got the save. Tyler Holton only went two innings for the Tigers, giving up one run on one hit.
San Diego’s offense was led by Luis Arraez, Mason McCoy, and Jackson Merrill, as they were the only three Padres hitters to have more than one hit. Arraez and McCoy each had two RBIs.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 70-69 overall, and they are 10 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 24-22 in AL Central matchups. The Tigers are on the road today, and they are 35-35 away from home compared to 35-34 at home.
The Tigers have won three straight series, and their overall series record is 20-19-5 this year. As the underdog, Detroit has gone 38-47 this year, and they are 24-30 as the road underdog. Detroit has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 32-22 when favored this season.
When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers, it’s best to take them on the road, where they are 43-27. The Tigers have a run line record of 72-67 overall, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. They have a losing streak against the run line when favored, as they are 19-35 in those games. The Tigers’ average run margin in winning games is 3.6 runs per game, compared to -3.4 runs per game in losing games.
The Detroit Tigers have been a part of a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games having an average of 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 69-66, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 20-18. Overall, 61.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in their last three contests.
Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 5.17. Montero’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Montero has allowed at least one home run in each of his last three outings. His walk numbers are a bit high, coming in at 3.1 per nine innings compared to 7.49 strikeouts.
Over the Tigers’ last 10 games, Spencer Torkelson has gone 10/37 with three homers and eight RBIs. Zach McKinstry has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/24 in his last eight games. For the season, Riley Greene leads the team with 20 homers and 58 RBIs, and he is batting .258.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .233 and have the league’s 19th on-base percentage. Detroit’s team slugging percentage of .387 is also 18th in the MLB.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 79-61 overall this season, and they trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are 20-20 in divisional games this year. The Padres have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Padres are 38-32 this season and 41-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 50-37 this year and 29-24 as the underdog. San Diego has an overall series record of 27-14-5 this year.
The Padres are 72-68 against the run line this season, including a 28-42 mark at home. They have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game overall, but that number dips to -0.1 runs per game at home. San Diego is 44-26 against the run line on the road, including a current streak of one cover. The Padres are 36-51 vs. the run line as the favorite and 36-17 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it’s -3.6 runs per game in losses.
The Padres have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their games averaging nine runs per game. Their over/under record is 75-63, and the average over/under line for their games is eight runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 22-23. A majority of their games have had higher over/under lines, as 59.3% of their games have had lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today and comes into the game with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.19. In his 11 starts, Darvish has pitched three quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish’s most recent outing didn’t go well, as he took the loss after giving up two earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 4.35 compared to 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA on the road.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Manny Machado has been the Padres’ top run producer this season, as his 84 RBIs are the best in the lineup. He also leads the team with 23 homers. Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez has also been hot of late, going 9/20 in his last five games and is batting .310 for the season.