St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/4/24

At 7:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Brewers will face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (+103). The Cardinals have a record of 70-69 and Sonny Gray on the mound.

Colin Rea will be starting for the Brewers, who are 81-58 overall and they lead the NL Central. The Brewers are 3rd in the division, and this game can be seen on BSMW.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +103

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:40 ET on Wednesday, September 4th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all St. Louis in the last game of this series, as the Cardinals took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The Cardinals offense only had nine hits but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +133 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Steven Matz for the Cardinals and Aaron Civale for the Brewers. Matz only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Civale was tagged for three homers and three earned runs in five innings of work.

Milwaukee had a late rally in this game, scoring one run in the 11th and another in the 12th, but they still fell short. Ryan Helsley got the win out of the bullpen for the Cardinals, while Elvis Peguero took the loss.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis is 70-69 overall and 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 20-24 in divisional games. The Cardinals are looking to take the series lead over the Brewers today, as the series is currently tied 1-1.

At home, the Cardinals are 36-32 this year, and they have gone 34-37 on the road. St. Louis has been just below .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog, and they are on a two-game winning streak as the road favorite. Their overall series record is 22-17-5 this year.

When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they’re 47-25 against the run line in those games. They’ve been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 22-45 against the run line. Their overall run line record is 69-70, with an average scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game.

The St. Louis Cardinals continue to be a strong over team, as their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. They have a 68-68 over/under record on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Cardinals have gone 10-13-1 to the over. They have played in 81 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 58.3% of their games. The over is also on a five-game streak in Cardinals games.

Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Padres. In that outing, he went six innings and only gave up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-9. His ERA for the season is 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.10. Opponents have a batting average of .219 vs. Gray this season. The right-hander has a total of 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.91 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, Gray has allowed 21 homers. Per nine innings, he is giving up 2.19 walks. Gray’s ERA on the road is 5.97 compared to 2.82 at home.

Paul Goldschmidt has been red hot for the Cardinals of late, as he is hitting .528 over his last nine games with two homers and nine RBIs. Goldschmidt is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Overall, he is batting .247 with a team-high 21 homers and 58 RBIs. Alec Burleson is also at 21 homers, and he has a slightly better batting average at .278.

As a team, the Cardinals are 22nd in the MLB in runs scored at 4.2 per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249, which is 10th in the league.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 81-58, which has them leading the NL Central by 10 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 30-18 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, the Brewers have been good at home, going 41-26, and they have gone 40-32 on the road.

The Brewers have been good as the favorite this year, going 47-33, and they are 34-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 24-15-4, and they have won three straight series, with two of those coming on the road.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better play as the underdog, going 40-19 compared to 32-48 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 72-67, with an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game. They have been better on the road, going 39-33 on the run line, compared to 33-34 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it drops to -2.8 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals is right in line with the average over/under line for Brewers games this season. Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total 74 times this season, with an average combined run total of 8.8 runs per game. The over has hit in 56.1% of their games this season, and their games have gone over the total in two straight contests.

Milwaukee is sending Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he has made 23 starts this season. Rea’s record is 12-4, and he has an ERA of 3.70. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per nine innings. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 4.04.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. This is a team that has been very consistent, as they are 7th in road games (5.0 RPG) and 10th in home games (4.8 RPG). As a team, the Brewers are batting .252, which is the 8th best mark in the league, and they are also 3rd in the league in on-base percentage. The Brewers are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.

Willy Adames is not only the Brewers’ leader in home runs and RBIs, but he is also on a 12-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Over his last six games, he has gone 8/27 with five homers and 12 RBIs. Rhys Hoskins has also been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, but he is batting just .209.