Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/4/24
Charlie Morton and the Braves (75-63) face off against the Rockies (51-88), who will be starting Bradley Blalock. This one is getting started at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -284. The money line odds for a Rockies win are at +233.
Colorado comes into the game on a two-game losing streak, and they are 5th in the NL West, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Rockies are 10-1-1 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Wednesday, September 4th.
HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Atlanta picked up a 3-0 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a two-run 3rd inning and added their final run in the 7th. As for the Rockies, they had their best chance to score in the 6th but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -378 on the money line.
Chris Sale started for the Braves and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued five walks. Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Kyle Freeland got the start for the Rockies, going five innings and giving up one earned run.
Gio Urshela was the only player in the game to have more than one hit. He went 2/3 with an RBI. Michael Harris II also had a two-hit game for Atlanta.
Rockies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 51-88, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 33 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. The Rockies have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Rockies have gone 32-37 this season, but they have really struggled on the road, going 19-51. This season, the Rockies are 2-2 as the favorite and 49-86 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 10-30-4.
When the Rockies are on the road, they have a run line record of 32-38, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games. They have been the underdog in most of their games this season, and their run line record as the underdog is 67-68. Their average run differential in all games is -1.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.3 runs per game on the road.
The Rockies have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 10 runs per game. Their O/U record is 69-67, and their games have had an average line of 10 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 9-9.
Bradley Blalock will be on the mound for the Rockies as they take on the Braves. Blalock is coming off of a loss in his last start, which came at home against the Marlins. He went 4 innings in that one, giving up 7 hits and 6 earned runs. Blalock’s first start of the season was a win against the Yankees, and he has a total of 11 strikeouts through his first 3 starts.
Colorado’s offense has been pretty average this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Rockies have been one of the worst teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts this season, and their team walk numbers are also towards the bottom of the league. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league.
Over his last seven games, Brendan Rodgers has been swinging a hot bat, going 10/28 with three homers. This season, he is hitting .270. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are also near the top of the Rockies home run leaderboard, with 21 homers apiece. Doyle’s 66 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and Tovar is right behind him at 63. Both players are also hitting over .270 for the season.
Braves Records & Stats
With their record of 75-63, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 23-21 in divisional games. The Braves got off to a good start this season, and they have a chance to make up some ground on the Phillies today, as they host the Rockies and are leading the series 1-0.
At home, the Braves are 37-28 this season, and they have gone 38-35 on the road. Atlanta has been the favorite in most of their games, coming in with a mark of 63-47 in those games. As for their record as the home favorite, they are 36-26 this year. Atlanta has put together an overall record of 24-16-5 in series this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been a better bet on the road this season, going 39-34 compared to 27-38 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 17-11 against the run line as an underdog this season.
When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. So far this season, the over/under record for Atlanta is 51-82, with an average combined run average of 8.1. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 13-22. In total, 44 games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 31.9% of their games. Their current under streak is at three games.
Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Rockies at home. Morton has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 4.26. Looking back at his last outing, Morton finished with a no-decision against the Phillies, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He did give up a homer in that outing. Morton has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.17 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 21 homers and is averaging 3.41 walks per nine innings.
Marcell Ozuna has been a big run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs is 5th in the league and leads the team. He is also 4th in the MLB with 37 home runs. Ozuna has also been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .306. Matt Olson has also been a good power threat for the Braves, as his 25 homers is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league. However, his batting average of .233 is just 10th on the team.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Atlanta comes into the game with a few players on hitting streaks, as Gio Urshela has a hit in 11 straight games, while Ronald Acuña Jr. has a four-game streak going.