Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24

The Dolphins are favored on the money line at -170 as they prepare to face the Jaguars at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. This week one AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, with the Jaguars at +141 on the money line and +3 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 49.5 points.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +3

This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th.

WHY BET THE JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS:

• We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 22 to 21
• Even though we like the Dolphins to win, our ATS pick is to take the Jaguars at +3
• We see this game finishing below the line of 49.5 points

Will The Jaguars Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Jaguars went 4-5 at home and 5-3 on the road last season, finishing with a 9-8 record. They were 7-4 as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog. Within the division, they were 4-2, placing 2nd in the AFC South, and they were 6-6 in the AFC, just missing the playoffs in 9th place. Their non-conference record was 3-2.

Against the spread, the Jaguars were 9-8 overall, with a 7-4 mark as the favorite and 2-4 as the underdog. Their over/under record was 8-9, and their games averaged 44 points per game. Their over/under lines averaged 43.1.

Jacksonville’s offense was 20th in the league last season, averaging 22.2 points per game (15th). They were more effective on the road, where they scored 23.8 points per game, ranking 7th compared to 20.8 points at home (23rd). The Jaguars were 12th in the league in yards per game, averaging 339.5 yards per contest. They also averaged 5.2 yards per play, which was 16th in the league.

The Jaguars had the 9th best passing yards per attempt figure, but they struggled to run the ball, finishing 31st in rushing yards per attempt. They were 23rd in rushing yards per game, averaging 96.8 yards per contest. Additionally, Jacksonville had the 13th most red zone attempts in the league last season.

Jacksonville’s defense was one of the better units at taking the ball away last season, ranking 5th in the league with 27 takeaways. They forced the 8th best third down conversion percentage in the league, allowing only 36.5% of conversions. Despite this, they finished 16th in points allowed, giving up 21.8 points per game, and their overall yardage allowed was 342.8 yards per game, which was 19th in the NFL.

The Jaguars were tough against the run, ranking 7th in rushing yards per attempt. They also allowed the 10th fewest passing touchdowns and the 7th fewest rushing touchdowns. However, their pass defense struggled, giving up 239.8 passing yards per game (26th) and allowing a completion percentage of 65.5% (17th).

Will The Dolphins Win At Home Over The Jaguars?

The Jaguars were 4-5 at home and 5-3 on the road last season. They went 9-8 overall, placing 2nd in the AFC South with a 4-2 division record. Jacksonville was tough as the favorite, going 7-4 but struggled as the underdog, going 2-4. Against teams with above .500 records, they went 6-7, and they were 3-1 against teams with below .500 records.

Their games averaged 44 points per game, which was right around the league average. Their over/under record for the season was 8-9. When favored, the Jaguars went 7-4 ATS, and they were 4-2 ATS as home favorites and 0-3 ATS as home underdogs. Overall, their ATS record was 9-8.

The Jaguars averaged 36.5 passing attempts per game last season, ranking 7th in the league. Their passing game averaged 242.7 yards per game, ranking 9th in the NFL. For the season, Jacksonville ranked 20th in offensive power rating, averaging 22.2 points per game, which was 15th in the league. On the road, they scored 23.8 points per game, the 7th best figure in the league, while at home, they scored 20.8 points per game, ranking 23rd.

Overall, the Jaguars averaged 339.5 yards per game, which was 12th in the NFL. However, their rushing game struggled, averaging only 96.8 yards per game and 3.6 yards per attempt, ranking 23rd and 31st in the league, respectively. On third downs, Jacksonville converted 38.2% of their attempts, putting them in the middle of the pack compared to other teams.

Jacksonville’s defense was a top-10 unit last season, finishing 7th in overall defensive power rankings. They forced 27 takeaways, the 5th best figure in the league, and had a turnover differential that ranked 11th. The Jaguars held opponents to 21.8 points per game, which was 16th in the NFL. They also defended the run well, giving up 4.2 yards per attempt, which was 7th best in the league.

Opposing offenses averaged 342.8 yards per game against Jacksonville, with the Jaguars finishing 19th in yards allowed. However, they struggled against the pass, giving up 239.8 passing yards per game (26th). Jacksonville defended the run well, allowing the 7th fewest rushing touchdowns in the league.