Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24

The forecast for Tuesday’s Red Sox vs. Mets interleague matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET. NESN is carrying this game on TV, and the Mets are the slight money line favorite (-127).

Currently, the Mets are on a five-game winning streak, and they are 74-64 overall. Boston has lost three straight and is 70-68, putting them 3rd in the AL East. David Peterson is starting for the Mets, while the Red Sox are sending Kutter Crawford to the mound.

BOSTON RED SOX VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +107

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS METS:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 4-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 4th inning and added two more runs in the 5th, while the Red Sox scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -115.

Luis Severino pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. Phil Maton came out of the bullpen for the save. Brayan Bello had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four earned runs.

Francisco Lindor and Luis Torrens each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets’ offense. Lindor, Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, and Michael Conforto each scored a run for New York. Xander Bogaerts scored the Red Sox’s only run.

Red Sox Records & Stats

With an overall record of 70-68, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, ten games behind the Yankees for the division lead. Boston has dropped three straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Mets. The Red Sox are 18-18 in AL East games this year.

At home, the Red Sox are just 31-38 this year, but they have been much better on the road at 39-30. As the underdog, Boston is 33-37 this year, and they are 37-31 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 21-17-6.

When the Red Sox are the underdog, they are 40-30 against the run line, and they are 24-44 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in 40 of their 69 road games, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games.

Despite the Boston Red Sox playing in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs, their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game this season. The Red Sox have gone over the total in 70 of their 131 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, Boston has gone over the total 12 times, including in each of their last three games.

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with an ERA of 4.12. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Crawford has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. So far, he has made 12 quality starts this year.

As a team, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in road scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per contest, which is 9th in the league. Boston is also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. One of the reasons they have been so successful on offense is that they are the league’s best team in terms of batting average on balls in play.

Jarren Duran has been on a tear of late, going 12/32 in his last eight games, including three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 with 21 homers. Rafael Devers is also having a strong season, leading the team with 80 RBIs and 28 homers. His batting average of .281 is 3rd on the team.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 74-64, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 7.5 games in the division. New York has won five straight games, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10.

At home, the Mets are 36-33 this year and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 47-35 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 23-16-8, and they have won two straight series and two straight series on the road.

When the Mets win, they win big, averaging a run margin of 3.6 runs per game. They are 33-23 against the run line as the underdog, and their run line record is 68-70 overall. They have covered the run line in their last four games, and their run line record is 29-40 at home and 39-30 on the road.

When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games is 68-66, and when the line is set at 8 runs, the record is 14-7. The over has hit in 55.8% of their games this season, and they have hit the under in five straight games.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 2.83. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.32, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .233 this season off Peterson, and he has a BB/9 figure of 3.8 compared to 6.82 strikeouts per nine innings.

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 7/23 in his last six games with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .271 with 29 homers and 81 RBIs. Pete Alonso has also been a big power threat for the Mets, as he has 30 homers this season and is 2nd on the team with 76 RBIs, but he has struggled of late, going just 3/23 in his last six games.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. This is a slight improvement over their home and road splits, as they are averaging 4.9 runs per game on the road and 4.6 at home. Overall, they are the 10th ranked offense in terms of batting average.