Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/3/24
On Tuesday at 7:07 PM, the Phillies and Blue Jays will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Phillies are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -106 compared to the Blue Jays at -113.
Philadelphia is 81-56 and they have won two straight, and they are first in the NL East. Toronto is 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-72. Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while the Phillies are sending Tyler Phillips to the mound.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -113
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, September 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies’s offense was carried by Nick Castellanos in their most recent game vs. the Braves. Castellanos went 2/5 with three RBIs and a run scored. The Phillies really broke things open with a three-run 6th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Phillies were the slight underdog at -128.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had nine K’s in the outing and got the win.
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Blue Jays having taken three of four games in their series vs. the Braves. Currently, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves, and they have an overall record of 81-56. They have gone 23-15 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been strong this year, going 47-25. On the road, they are just above .500 at 34-31. As the favorite, the Phillies are 69-41 this year, and they are 12-15 as the underdog. The team is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they have won three straight series.
When betting the Phillies on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip as they are 66-71. They have been slightly better on the road at 33-32, where they have covered the run line in two straight games. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 3.7 runs per game in their losses.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today facing the Toronto Blue Jays. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Phillies have a 63-67 O/U record this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. So far this season, 30.7% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs, and their current O/U streak is under 2 games.
Right-hander Tyler Phillips gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 5.50. Phillips’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 36 innings of work, he has allowed a total of seven home runs. Phillips is coming off a start in which he gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in team batting average and have the league’s 6th best on-base percentage. As a team, they are also 6th in slugging and OPS.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are the Phillies’ top power threats, with Harper ranking 2nd on the team with 26 homers and Schwarber leading the club with 28. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter for the Phillies, batting .290 for the season. Over his last eight games, Harper is hitting .393.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog going into this road game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Twins but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 1st inning. Ernie Clement had a big game, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Toronto is 67-72 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, 13.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays are 20-26 against other teams in the AL East. At home, they are 34-33 this season and 33-39 on the road.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 41-27 this year, and they are 26-45 as the underdog. Toronto has won four straight games at home, and their overall series record is 16-22-6. They dropped two of three in their series vs. the Twins.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 71-68 against the run line this season. However, they are just 25-42 against the run line at home, where they are outscored by an average of 0.7 runs per game. On the road, they are 46-26 against the run line, where they are outscored by an average of 0.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 as an underdog against the run line in those games. Overall, they are 40-31 against the run line as an underdog and 31-37 as a favorite.
The Blue Jays are home against the Phillies tonight, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-19. So far, 20.1% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.27. Bassitt has made 27 starts this season and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 5.85. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Bassitt’s ERA for the month of August is 4.50.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been an average hitting team this season, coming in with a team batting average of .241. Toronto has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are 8th in the league in walks. As a team, they are 20th in home runs.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .324 with 27 home runs and 89 RBIs. Over his last eight games, he has gone 14/31. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .216 for the season. Addison Barger has been hot of late, going 12/36 with three homers over his last 10 games.