Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/1/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain for Sunday’s Braves vs. Phillies game in Philadelphia, as the forecasted temperature is 86 degrees. Aaron Nola will start for the Phillies, and he is 80-56 overall. The Braves are 74-62 and they are starting Spencer Schwellenbach.

This NL East matchup has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. ESPN will be televising Sunday’s game, and the Phillies are the betting favorite, with the money line odds of -142. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the under is paying out at -106 compared to -115 for the over.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -142

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 7:10 ET on Sunday, September 1st.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia picked up a 3-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 1st inning and added their final run in the 7th. As for the Braves, they had their best scoring chance in the 3rd inning when they loaded the bases with no outs, but could only push across one run.

Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Max Fried got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work.

Edmundo Sosa was the difference for the Phillies, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Trea Turner also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia.

Braves Records & Stats

With a record of 74-62, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 23-20 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are on the road today, and they have gone 38-34 on the road compared to 36-28 at home.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone 62-47 this season and 12-15 as the underdog. Atlanta has been doing well in series lately, as they are 23-15-5 overall and have won five straight series. They have also won three straight series on the road.

When betting the run line on the Braves, it has been a mixed bag this season. They have a run line record of 64-72, but they are 38-34 on the road. They have been favored in 109 of their games and are 48-61 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game.

When the Braves play on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Atlanta games this season is 51-80, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-13-1. So far this season, 58.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher.

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach comes into the game with a record of 5-6 and an ERA of 3.72. He has made 15 appearances this year and has turned in eight quality starts. Schwellenbach’s most recent outing came against the Twins, where he went 4 2/3 innings, didn’t allow a run, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 3.93 compared to 4.02 at home.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .307 with 37 homers and 98 RBIs. His 98 RBIs are 3rd in the league. Matt Olson is also having a good season power-wise, as he has 25 homers, but his batting average is just .234. However, Olson has been hot of late, going 12/33 with four homers in his last eight games.

Overall, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Braves are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and are 12th in slugging percentage.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 80-56, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 22-15 against other teams in the NL East. As the favorite, the Phillies are 68-41 this season and 45-22 as the favorite at home. So far, they have gone 46-25 at home and 34-31 on the road.

Philadelphia has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 23-15-6. Their record in the series vs. the Braves is 2-1 heading into today’s game. The Phillies have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 66-70, and they are 33-38 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are 52-57 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 14-13. Their overall run differential is +0.8 runs per game, with a +1.2 run differential at home and a +0.4 run differential on the road.

Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the Philadelphia Phillies’ home game against the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 63-66. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Phillies have gone over the total in 17 games, under the total in 15 games, and pushed in one game.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. Nola has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.30 ERA. Coming into this game, he has a WHIP of 1.16 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. Nola has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 8.28 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Nola picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run against the Astros. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Over his last six games, J.T. Realmuto has gone 8/24 with three homers and eight RBIs. Realmuto’s recent surge has helped the Phillies offense, as Nick Castellanos has also homered three times in his last eight games but is batting just .233 over that stretch. For the season, Castellanos is hitting .290, and Realmuto is batting .279.

Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 8th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 3rd in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. As a team, they are also 9th in homers.