Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 9/1/24

At 12:10 PM ET, the Brewers and Reds face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Brewers are currently on a five-game winning streak. Milwaukee is 80-56 overall, while the Reds are 64-73 and are 5th in the NL Central.

Brandon Williamson will start for the Reds, while the Brewers are sending Tobias Myers to the mound on Sunday. On the money line, the Brewers are the slight favorite, and the over/under line is at 9.5 runs. This game will be televised on BSOH.

CINCINNATI REDS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +111

This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 12:10 ET on Sunday, September 1st.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS REDS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Reds series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -130 and squeaked out a 5-4 win. The Brewers had a three-run 3rd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the top of the 9th. As for the Reds, they scored two runs in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 6th.

Cincinnati actually outhit the Brewers in the game 8 to 5. Both teams finished with just one home run. Milwaukee’s two-run 3rd inning was the difference in the game. Heading into the matchup, the Brewers had Frankie Montas on the mound, and he went six innings while giving up four runs and struck out four. Aaron Ashby got the win out of the bullpen, and Devin Williams got the save.

Amed Rosario hit the game’s only other home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs. Spencer Steer also had a two-hit game for the Reds and drove in two runs.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is on a five-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 80-56. The Brewers hold a 10-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. So far, they have gone 29-16 in divisional games.

As the Brewers are 40-25 at home this season, they have also been a solid team on the road, going 40-31. Milwaukee has won three straight games as the road favorite, and their overall record as the favorite is 46-31. They are 34-25 as the underdog this season.

As a run line bettor, the Brewers have been a solid play this season, going 71-65 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 39-32. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 40-19. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it is -2.8 in losing games.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 72-55. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 5-3. This season, only 2.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their over streak is currently at 2 games.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Reds. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 2.99. Myers WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. Looking back at his last outing, Myers finished with a no-decision vs. the Giants, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Myers’ ERA at home is 3.67 compared to 3.03 on the road.

As a team, the Brewers are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB right now. Milwaukee is also one of the best teams in terms of getting on base, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .333.

Willy Adames has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, going 7/21 in his last five games with three homers and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in homers (27) and RBIs (95). Adames is also on a nine-game hitting streak. William Contreras has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/19 in his last five games, with three homers.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 5th in the NL Central with a record of 64-73, putting them 16.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds have dropped three straight games, and they are 2-8 across their last 10 games overall. So far, they are 19-23 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Reds are 32-39 this season compared to 32-34 on the road. This year, the Reds have really struggled as the underdog, going 31-40. Cincinnati is also just 11-12 as the home underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Reds are 16-23-3 and have lost two straight series.

When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s been more profitable to do so on the road this season, as they are 41-25 compared to 31-40 at home. Cincinnati’s average run margin is just +0.1 on the year, but it’s been slightly better on the road at +0.7 compared to -0.5 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 45-26 compared to 27-39 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.9, but it drops to -3.2 in losses. They are currently on a four-game run line win streak when listed as the underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds are at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 65-65. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 21-10. This season, only 5.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their over streak is at 2 games.

Brandon Williamson is coming off a season in which he made 23 starts and finished with a record of 5-5. His ERA for the season was 4.46, and he finished the year with seven quality starts. On the season, he allowed a total of 18 home runs, and his WHIP was 1.28. Williamson’s FIP for the season was 4.63, and he finished the year with an average of 1.7 walks per game. His strikeouts per nine innings was 7.54, and his strikeouts per walk was 2.5.

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as he is batting .263 with 22 homers and 61 RBIs. His 22 homers are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Spencer Steer has also been a key power threat for the Reds, as he has 19 homers and 85 RBIs, which is 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .235 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a slightly better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Currently, the Reds are 12th in the league in home runs, but are batting just .232 as a team.