Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/31/24
At 7:15 PM ET, the Braves and Phillies square off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -146. The Braves are at +124 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Max Fried will start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Zack Wheeler. The Braves are 74-61 this season, and the Phillies are 79-56, putting them in first place in the NL East.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -146
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 31st.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Phillies series came right down to the end, as the Phillies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 7-2 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +118 on the money line.
Reynaldo Lopez pitched well for the Braves in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Phillies, Ranger Suarez only went four innings and gave up four runs on five hits.
Atlanta’s offense was led by Orlando Arcia and Sean Murphy, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia also homered twice and scored two runs. On the other end, Bryce Harper went 3/4 with two doubles for the Phillies.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 74-61, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta has gone 23-19 in divisional games this season and are looking for a win today to pull within four games of the Phillies. The Braves have won five straight series, and their overall series record is 23-15-5 this year.
At home, the Braves are 36-28 this year, and they have gone 38-33 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a record of 62-47 in those contests. As the underdog on the road, the Braves are 11-12 this year. Atlanta has been playing well, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
The Braves are on a seven-game run line win streak on the road, and they are 38-33 overall on the run line away from home. They have a run line record of 16-10 as the underdog and are 5-0 against the run line in their last five games as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.6, while it is -3.3 in their losses.
Atlanta has been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.2. The over/under record for the Braves this season is 51-79, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 8-13-1. The over has hit in two straight games for Atlanta.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.50 ERA. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 23 appearances, Fried has turned in 11 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.48 strikeouts and 3.1 walks. Fried most recently faced the Phillies on August 21st, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as his 98 RBIs are 3rd in the league, and he is also 4th in the league with 37 home runs. Ozuna is batting .309 for the season and is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/40 in his last 10 games with four homers and 14 RBIs.
Overall, the Braves are 4th in home runs this season and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is 79-56 overall this year and leads the NL East by five games over the Braves. The Phillies are 21-15 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 45-25 this year, and they are 34-31 on the road.
The Phillies have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 67-41. As for their record as the home favorite, the Phillies are 44-22 this year. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 23-15-6, and they have won two straight series.
The Phillies have a run line record of 32-38 at home this season, with an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies have a run line record of 65-70, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game.
Philadelphia’s over/under record for the season is 63-65, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 17-15-1. The Phillies have had 67 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 49.6% of their games, and 35 games with lines set lower than 8 runs, accounting for 25.9% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 2.75. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 20 quality starts. Wheeler’s last outing came against the Astros, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came against the Nationals, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th). They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Harper’s 26 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Schwarber’s 28 leading the way. Schwarber’s 82 RBIs is also 2nd on the team and 15th in the league. Harper is batting .282 for the season and has gone 13/33 in his last nine games. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter for the Phillies, batting .290 for the season and leading the team with 89 RBIs.