Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/31/24
This article was published on Aug 31, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

From Target Field in Minneapolis, we have the Blue Jays and Twins facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Twins at -152, while the Blue Jays are the slight underdog at +128. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Jose Berrios will be starting for the Blue Jays, and he is facing off against Zebby Matthews. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, while the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central. SNET will be televising this one.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -152
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:10 ET on Saturday, August 31st.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Blue Jays series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -187 favorites and squeaked out a 2-0 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Blue Jays could only muster one more hit the rest of the game.
Toronto’s best chance to score came in the 5th inning when they loaded the bases with no outs, but Kevin Gausman could only get one run across, and the Twins starter Pablo Lopez got out of the jam. Lopez went 7 2/3 innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game.
Leo Jimenez and Spencer Horwitz were the only two Blue Jays hitters to have more than one hit. Jimenez. Minnesota’s top hitter was Pablo Sano, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays are 66-71 overall and trail the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division, two games behind the Rays for 4th place. Toronto lost the first game of this series vs. the Twins and has an overall division record of 20-26 this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-33 this season, and they are just under .500 at 32-38 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 41-27, but they are only 25-44 as the underdog this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-21-6, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 44-26 in that department. They have an average run margin of -0.5 on the season, but that number improves to -0.3 on the road. They are 38-31 against the run line as an underdog.
When the Toronto Blue Jays play on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays have a 72-62 over/under record this season. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 22 times and under 19 times. In total, 27 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 19.7% of their games this season. The under has hit in their last four games.
José Berríos has been pitching well for the Blue Jays, as he has won each of his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Red Sox on the road and picked up the win, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 27 starts and has a record of 13-9. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Berríos has one complete game and 17 quality starts this year. For the season, he has allowed 28 home runs and is averaging 7.06 strikeouts per nine innings.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the MLB. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s best hitters this season, batting .321 with 27 homers and 88 RBIs. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but he is batting just .217 for the season.
Guerrero Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 in his last five games. However, he has not homered during that stretch. George Springer has also struggled recently, going 2/14 in his last four games. Daulton Varsho and Springer each have one homer in their last five and four games, respectively.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 73-61 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. They have dropped two straight games and have gone just 3-7 over their last 10.
So far, the Twins have been good at home, going 38-29 this season. On the road, they are 35-32. Minnesota has been good as the favorite this year, going 57-35, and they are 31-22 as the favorite at home. The Twins’ overall series record is 24-16-3, and they have lost three straight series.
Minnesota has been a slight favorite on the run line this season, but they have been a better bet on the road than at home. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5. Their overall run line record is 65-69, while their run line record at home is 29-38.
The Minnesota Twins have an over/under record of 68-62 this season, with an average combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Toronto Blue Jays is set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 21-21. The Twins have played 12 games this season with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for just 9.0% of their games this season. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Zebby Matthews is getting the start for the Twins today as they take on the Blue Jays. Matthews has made 3 starts so far this season and has a win and a loss to his name. In his last outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run but took the loss. He has 7 strikeouts in 10 innings of work.
Minnesota has been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams this season, and they have been solid offensively overall, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Twins have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league.
Ryan Jeffers comes into the game as the Twins’ top home run hitter, and he also leads the team with 59 RBIs. Jeffers is hitting just .236 for the season, but he has gone deep 20 times. Carlos Santana is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and has driven in 56 runs. Willi Castro is batting .254 and has 11 homers.
